[BNAWX] Severe Storm Outlook Narrative

[EMWIN Server]

ACUS11 KWNS 101245
SWOMCD
SPC MCD 101245
TNZ000-ARZ000-MSZ000-101345-

MESOSCALE DISCUSSION 1933
NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK
0745 AM CDT WED AUG 10 2011

AREAS AFFECTED...AR TO FAR WESTERN TN/FAR NORTHERN MS

CONCERNING...SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WATCH 762...

VALID 101245Z - 101345Z

THE SEVERE WEATHER THREAT FOR SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WATCH 762
CONTINUES.

AN INCREASINGLY LOCALIZED WIND DAMAGE THREAT IS ANTICIPATED IN
ASSOCIATION WITH AN ONGOING MCS ACROSS NORTH-CENTRAL/NORTHEAST AR
EARLY THIS MORNING. WITH SEVERE TSTM WATCH 762 CURRENTLY SCHEDULED
TO EXPIRE AT 13Z...A NEW WATCH IS NOT EXPECTED TO THE EAST OF WW 762
/ALTHOUGH A LOCAL EXTENSION MAY BE WARRANTED/.

ONGOING MCS NORTH-NORTHEAST OF THE LITTLE ROCK VICINITY AS OF 1230Z
HAS SHOWN GRADUAL SIGNS OF WEAKENING OVER THE PAST 1-2 HOURS...WITH
WEAKER STORM RELATIVE LOW-LEVEL INFLOW WITH EASTWARD EXTENT EXPECTED
TO FOSTER A CONTINUED DIMINISHING TREND OVER THE NEXT FEW HOURS.
GIVEN FORWARD MOMENTUM AND A CONSEQUENTIAL COLD POOL /3+ 2-HR
PRESSURE RISES/...WIND DAMAGE MAY REMAIN POSSIBLE ON AN ISOLATED
BASIS WITHIN SEVERE TSTM WATCH 762...AND POTENTIALLY EASTERN AR AND
PERHAPS EVEN FAR WESTERN TN/FAR NORTHERN MS. A NEW WATCH ISSUANCE IS
NOT CURRENTLY ANTICIPATED...BUT SHORT-TERM CONVECTIVE TRENDS WILL
CONTINUE TO BE MONITORED.

..GUYER.. 08/10/2011

...PLEASE SEE WWW.SPC.NOAA.GOV FOR GRAPHIC PRODUCT...

ATTN...WFO...MEG...LZK...

LAT...LON   34699281 35699236 35719053 35298987 34599032 34699281



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