[BNAWX] Severe Storm Outlook Narrative

[EMWIN Server]

ACUS11 KWNS 080354
SWOMCD
SPC MCD 080354
KYZ000-TNZ000-ILZ000-MOZ000-ARZ000-080530-

MESOSCALE DISCUSSION 1896
NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK
1054 PM CDT SUN AUG 07 2011

AREAS AFFECTED...PORTIONS SERN MO...NERN AR...NWRN TN...WRN
KY...EXTREME SRN IL.

CONCERNING...SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WATCH 739...740...742...

VALID 080354Z - 080530Z

THE SEVERE WEATHER THREAT FOR SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WATCH
739...740...742...CONTINUES.

WWS MAY BE CLEARED BEFORE THEIR RESPECTIVE SCHEDULED EXPIRATION
TIMES...ADN/OR BEHIND EXISTING CONVECTION.

SVR POTENTIAL IS DIMINISHING ACROSS WW AREA AS TSTMS WEAKEN BEHIND
EXPANSIVE GUST FRONT.  MCS THAT HAS PRODUCED SEVERAL REPORTS OF
SVR/DAMAGING WIND OVER OZARKS OF S-CENTRAL/SERN MO IS SHOWING MARKED
SIGNS OF DECAY...WITH ONLY SINGLE DEEP TSTM EVIDENT ALONG NERN
FRINGE OF COMPLEX AT NEW MADRID COUNTY MO AND SOME ELEVATED
CONVECTION BACK OVER OZARKS.  THESE TRENDS ARE EVIDENT IN
REFLECTIVITY ANIMATIONS AND IR IMAGERY...WHERE CLOUD TOP WARMING HAS
OCCURRED DURING PAST HOUR.  NEARLY SFC-BASED EFFECTIVE INFLOW IS
BEING DISTANCED PROGRESSIVELY FARTHER FROM REMAINING CONVECTION AS
GUST FRONT...EVIDENT IN ARC AT 0345Z FROM CROSS/MISSISSIPPI COUNTIES
AR TO FULTON COUNTY KY AND MISSISSIPPI COUNTY MO.  WIDELY SCATTERED
TO SCATTERED TSTMS SHOULD CONTINUE BEHIND GUST FRONT...ACCESSING
ELEVATED BUOYANCY WITH POTENTIAL FOR STG GUSTS AND ISOLATED HAIL.
ADDITIONAL DEVELOPMENT MAY OCCUR OVER NWRN TN ALONG OR JUST BEHIND
GUST FRONT...BEING UNDERCUT BY COLD POOL  SOON THEREAFTER.

..EDWARDS.. 08/08/2011

...PLEASE SEE WWW.SPC.NOAA.GOV FOR GRAPHIC PRODUCT...

ATTN...WFO...OHX...PAH...MEG...LSX...LZK...SGF...

LAT...LON   35508984 35659114 36069208 36649245 37359149 37338923
            37408749 36508726 35898794 35508984



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