[BNAWX] Severe Storm Outlook Narrative

EMWIN Server emwin at nashvilleweather.net
Wed Apr 27 16:39:04 CDT 2011


ACUS11 KWNS 272138
SWOMCD
SPC MCD 272138
WVZ000-VAZ000-OHZ000-TNZ000-KYZ000-INZ000-272215-

MESOSCALE DISCUSSION 0632
NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK
0438 PM CDT WED APR 27 2011

AREAS AFFECTED...MUCH OF CENTRAL AND ERN KY...SERN IND...SRN
OH...PARTS OF WV AND SWRN VA

CONCERNING...SEVERE POTENTIAL...TORNADO WATCH LIKELY

VALID 272138Z - 272215Z

A NEW TORNADO WATCH IS BEING COORDINATED WITH AFFECTED WFOS AND WILL
BE ISSUED SHORTLY FOR MUCH OF CENTRAL AND ERN KY INTO SERN IND...AND
PARTS OF WV AND SWRN VA.  ONGOING TORNADO THREAT S OF THIS REGION IS
EXPECTED TO SPREAD NNEWD INTO THE EVENING.

LATE AFTERNOON SURFACE ANALYSIS INDICATED AN AREA OF LOW PRESSURE
LOCATED OVER SERN MO...WITH THIS FEATURE EXPECTED TO UNDERGO FURTHER
INTENSIFICATION TRACKING TOWARD INDIANA AS THE ATTENDANT PROGRESSIVE
OZARKS SHORTWAVE TROUGH TAKES ON A NEGATIVE TILT TRACKING NEWD.
DESPITE WEAKER INSTABILITY IN PLACE ACROSS THE DISCUSSION AREA...A
STRENGTHENING LOW LEVEL JET INTO KY/SRN IND/SRN OH BY EARLY EVENING
AS A 100 KT SWLY MIDLEVEL JET NOSES INTO THIS REGION WILL AID IN
DESTABILIZATION.  THIS COMBINED WITH INCREASING LOW LEVEL SHEAR
/300-500 M2 PER S22/ INTO THE EVENING WILL BE VERY FAVORABLE FOR
STORM ROTATION...SUPERCELLS PRODUCING TORNADOES.

..PETERS.. 04/27/2011

...PLEASE SEE WWW.SPC.NOAA.GOV FOR GRAPHIC PRODUCT...

ATTN...WFO...RLX...MRX...JKL...ILN...LMK...OHX...IND...PAH...

LAT...LON   36588583 36658701 38388665 39048515 38978312 38878166
            37588155 36578234 36588583


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