[BNAWX] Severe Storm Outlook Narrative

[EMWIN Server]

ACUS11 KWNS 261942
SWOMCD
SPC MCD 261941
TNZ000-KYZ000-MSZ000-ILZ000-MOZ000-ARZ000-LAZ000-262115-

MESOSCALE DISCUSSION 0591
NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK
0241 PM CDT TUE APR 26 2011

AREAS AFFECTED...EASTERN AR/WESTERN TN/NORTHERN MS TO THE MO
BOOTHEEL/WESTERN KY/FAR SOUTHERN IL

CONCERNING...SEVERE POTENTIAL...TORNADO WATCH LIKELY

VALID 261941Z - 262115Z

CLOSELY MONITORING TRENDS FOR A TORNADO WATCH ISSUANCE ACROSS
EASTERN AR INTO WESTERN TN/NORTHERN MS...A WATCH MAY BE NEEDED
WITHIN THE HOUR.

OVER THE PAST HOUR...VISIBLE SATELLITE REFLECTS DEEPENING CUMULIFORM
DEVELOPMENT ALONG THE SOUTHWEST-NORTHEAST ORIENTED FRONTAL ZONE FROM
SOUTH-CENTRAL AR INTO WESTERN TN/WESTERN KY...WITH INCIPIENT TSTM
DEVELOPMENT RECENTLY NOTED EAST OF LITTLE ROCK. WITH STRONG HEATING
/ALREADY NEAR 80F OR ABOVE/ OCCURRING ALONG/SOUTHEAST OF THE SURFACE
BOUNDARY...MODIFICATIONS TO A SPECIAL 18Z LITTLE ROCK OBSERVED RAOB
SUGGEST LITTLE CINH REMAINS. AS LARGE SCALE FORCING FOR ASCENT
INCREASES LATER TODAY...STRONG/SEVERE TSTMS SHOULD STEADILY INCREASE
INTO THIS EVENING. WHILE THE MOST SIGNIFICANT/WIDESPREAD
SEVERE/TORNADO THREAT MAY NOT ARRIVE UNTIL THIS EVENING /AS A LOW
LEVEL JET BEGINS TO MARKEDLY INCREASE/...INCREASING CONVECTIVE
TRENDS IN THE SHORT TERM WILL NECESSITATE A TORNADO WATCH ISSUANCE.

..GUYER.. 04/26/2011

...PLEASE SEE WWW.SPC.NOAA.GOV FOR GRAPHIC PRODUCT...

ATTN...WFO...OHX...PAH...MEG...JAN...LZK...

LAT...LON   34979191 37388892 36878799 34198882 32999157 33999186
            34979191



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