[BNAWX] Severe Storm Outlook Narrative

[EMWIN Server]

ACUS11 KWNS 092022
SWOMCD
SPC MCD 092021
WVZ000-VAZ000-NCZ000-TNZ000-SCZ000-KYZ000-092145-

MESOSCALE DISCUSSION 0386
NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK
0321 PM CDT SAT APR 09 2011

AREAS AFFECTED...ERN TN...ERN KY...SRN WV...WRN VA...WRN NC

CONCERNING...TORNADO WATCH 113...

VALID 092021Z - 092145Z

THE SEVERE WEATHER THREAT FOR TORNADO WATCH 113 CONTINUES.

THREAT FOR ISOLATED TORNADOES...LARGE HAIL AND DAMAGING WIND WILL
PERSIST NEXT FEW HOURS MAINLY FROM SRN WV...WRN VA...ERN TN AND WRN
NC. ADDITIONAL STORMS MAY INTENSIFY OVER SERN KY. STORMS ARE
APPROACHING ERN EDGE OF THE WW ACROSS WRN VA AND WRN NC. SOME THREAT
FOR LARGE HAIL MAY EXIST A SHORT DISTANCE EAST OF WW 113...BUT
OVERALL SEVERE THREAT IS NOT EXPECTED TO BE SUFFICIENT FOR A
DOWNSTREAM WATCH AT THIS TIME.

CLUSTER OF STORMS INCLUDING A FEW DISCRETE SUPERCELLS CONTINUE FROM
SRN WV SWD THROUGH WRN VA AND NERN TN IN ASSOCIATION WITH MCV AND
ITS ATTENDANT MESOSCALE ZONES OF ASCENT. SOME OF THE STORMS ARE
SHIFTING EAST OF WW 113...BUT WEDGE FRONT HAS STABILIZED THE
BOUNDARY LAYER TOWARD CNTRL VA AND NC. STORMS WILL LIKELY BECOME
ELEVATED AND BEGIN TO WEAKEN AS THEY MOVE INTO THIS MORE STABLE
REGIME.

FARTHER WEST...LINE OF STORMS INCLUDING EMBEDDED SUPERCELLS PERSIST
FROM SRN WV THROUGH EXTREME WRN VA. THIS ACTIVITY HAS HAD A TENDENCY
TO BUILD SLOWLY SWWD...AND A FEW DISCRETE CELLS ARE ALSO BEGINNING
TO DEVELOP OVER NERN TN WHERE STRONGER CAP HAS PREVIOUSLY LIMITED
DEVELOPMENT. LOW-MID LEVEL JETS ACCOMPANYING THE MCV WILL CONTINUE
TO PROMOTE SUPERCELLS AND BOWING SEGMENTS AS ACTIVITY DEVELOPS EWD
AND SWD THROUGH REMAINING WARM SECTOR.

..DIAL.. 04/09/2011

...PLEASE SEE WWW.SPC.NOAA.GOV FOR GRAPHIC PRODUCT...

ATTN...WFO...RNK...RLX...GSP...MRX...JKL...OHX...

LAT...LON   36778315 37258242 38238128 37928043 36168137 35168207
            35028317 35018396 35038478 35278520 36488437 36778315



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