[BNAWX] Severe Storm Outlook Narrative

EMWIN Server emwin at nashvilleweather.net
Mon Apr 4 16:32:56 CDT 2011


ACUS11 KWNS 042049
SWOMCD
SPC MCD 042049
WVZ000-VAZ000-TNZ000-KYZ000-OHZ000-NCZ000-GAZ000-ALZ000-042145-

MESOSCALE DISCUSSION 0350
NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK
0349 PM CDT MON APR 04 2011

AREAS AFFECTED...ERN KY/TN...SRN WV...SWRN VA

CONCERNING...SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WATCH 94...

VALID 042049Z - 042145Z

THE SEVERE WEATHER THREAT FOR SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WATCH 94
CONTINUES.

LEADING EDGE OF LONG-LIVED/FAST-MOVING/EXTENSIVE QLCS EXTENDED FROM
GREENUP COUNTY KY TO FRANKLIN COUNTY TN AS OF 2030Z. 50-70 KT
FORWARD PROPAGATION SUGGESTS THIS LINE WILL APPROACH THE ERN EXTENT
OF WW 94 AROUND 23Z. THIS FORWARD SPEED SHOULD DECREASE SOMEWHAT AS
UPPER-LEVEL FLOW BACKS AND THE LINE OUTRUNS THE RICHER MOIST AXIS
ACROSS MS/WRN AL INTO MIDDLE TN. NEVERTHELESS...THE QUICK MOTION OF
THE QLCS /SUPPORTED BY THE VERY STRONG LOW-LEVEL FLOW/ WILL MAINTAIN
POTENTIAL FOR RELATIVELY WIDESPREAD DAMAGING WINDS. GIVEN THIS AND
THAT GREATEST SURFACE PRESSURE FALLS ARE NOW CENTERED ACROSS ERN
KY/TN...TORNADOES CANNOT BE RULED OUT. HOWEVER...THIS THREAT SHOULD
BE TEMPERED BY LOWER PW VALUES AND RELATIVELY LARGER SURFACE
TEMPERATURE/DEW POINT SPREADS COMPARED TO FARTHER W.

..GRAMS.. 04/04/2011

...PLEASE SEE WWW.SPC.NOAA.GOV FOR GRAPHIC PRODUCT...

ATTN...WFO...RNK...RLX...GSP...MRX...JKL...FFC...ILN...OHX...
HUN...

LAT...LON   35128604 37068448 37838370 38168340 38658283 38778215
            38628134 38398118 37238164 35078327 34508426 34488511
            34938606 35128604

WWWW
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