[BNAWX] Severe Storm Outlook Narrative
EMWIN Server
emwin at nashvilleweather.net
Sun Oct 24 15:37:42 CDT 2010
ACUS11 KWNS 242037
SWOMCD
SPC MCD 242036
MSZ000-TNZ000-ARZ000-LAZ000-TXZ000-OKZ000-242200-
MESOSCALE DISCUSSION 1977
NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK
0336 PM CDT SUN OCT 24 2010
AREAS AFFECTED...PARTS OF NE TX...SRN AND ERN AR...NRN LA...NWRN MS
AND SWRN TN
CONCERNING...TORNADO WATCH 707...
VALID 242036Z - 242200Z
THE SEVERE WEATHER THREAT FOR TORNADO WATCH 707 CONTINUES.
A NEW WW MAY BE NEEDED NORTH/EAST OF WW 707 WITHIN THE NEXT HOUR OR
TWO.
SCATTERED DISCRETE STORM DEVELOPMENT IS NOW WELL UNDERWAY ACROSS THE
ARKLATEX INTO UPPER PORTIONS OF THE LOWER MISSISSIPPI VALLEY ...AS
INHIBITION HAS WEAKENED IN THE PEAK AFTERNOON HEATING. LOW-LEVEL
FOCUS FOR ACTIVITY REMAINS WEAK OR CONFINED TO SMALLER SCALES...SO
POTENTIAL FOR UPSCALE CONVECTIVE GROWTH SEEMS RELATIVELY LOW...AND
THE NUMBER OF STORMS MAY NOT INCREASE MUCH THROUGH THE REMAINDER OF
THE AFTERNOON. BUT DISCRETE STORMS... INCLUDING ISOLATED
SUPERCELLS...SHOULD PERSIST THROUGH THE 23-01Z TIME FRAME...MOST
CONCENTRATED IN ASSOCIATION WITH STRONGER MID/ UPPER FORCING
ACCOMPANYING A SIGNIFICANT SHORT WAVE IMPULSE SHIFTING EASTWARD
TOWARD THE ARKLATEX. THIS COULD CONTRIBUTE TO FURTHER
DESTABILIZATION AND INCREASING SEVERE POTENTIAL NORTH AND EAST OF WW
707...INTO PORTIONS OF NORTHEAST ARKANSAS/WESTERN TENNESSEE AND
NORTHWESTERN MISSISSIPPI...INCLUDING THE MEMPHIS METROPOLITAN AREA
BY EARLY EVENING. LARGE HAIL AND LOCALIZED DAMAGING WIND GUSTS WILL
BE POSSIBLE IN STRONGEST CELLS...PERHAPS A TORNADO OR TWO.
..KERR.. 10/24/2010
...PLEASE SEE WWW.SPC.NOAA.GOV FOR GRAPHIC PRODUCT...
ATTN...WFO...MEG...JAN...LZK...SHV...
LAT...LON 33099520 34429420 34859341 35259284 35879129 35739005
34618949 33668930 32868972 32199077 31829149 31459409
33099520
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