[BNAWX] Severe Storm Outlook Narrative

[EMWIN Server]

ACUS11 KWNS 230218
SWOMCD
SPC MCD 230218
KYZ000-INZ000-ILZ000-TNZ000-MOZ000-ARZ000-MSZ000-230245-

MESOSCALE DISCUSSION 2069
NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK
0818 PM CST MON NOV 22 2010

AREAS AFFECTED...NERN AR / WRN TN / SERN MO / WRN KY / SRN IL

CONCERNING...SEVERE POTENTIAL...WATCH NEEDED SOON

VALID 230218Z - 230245Z

THE THREAT FOR SEVERE STORMS CAPABLE OF LOCALLY DAMAGING WINDS AND
PERHAPS A TORNADO OR TWO IS INCREASING ACROSS THE DISCUSSION AREA
AND A WW WILL BE REQUIRED.

STRONG TO SEVERE TSTMS ONGOING ALONG INTENSIFYING COLD FRONT WITHIN
TORNADO WATCH 746 ARE EXPECTED TO APPROACH THE ERN EDGE OF THE WATCH
AREA BETWEEN 03-04Z.  ADDITIONAL TSTMS WILL CONTINUE TO DEVELOP IN
AN ELONGATED SW-NE ORIENTED BAND FROM LIT-PAH WHERE LOW-LEVEL
CONFLUENCE AND MOISTURE FLUX IS ENHANCED ALONG 40-50+ KT LLJ AXIS.
WHILE CONVECTIVE INSTABILITY WILL REMAIN LIMITED /I.E. MLCAPE LESS
THAN 500 J PER KG/...THE PRESENCE OF STRONG AMBIENT WIND FIELD AND
RESULTING LARGE CLOCKWISE-CURVED HODOGRAPHS SUGGEST A RISK FOR
EMBEDDED SUPERCELL AND BOWING STRUCTURES CAPABLE OF DAMAGING WINDS
AND A COUPLE OF TORNADOES.

..MEAD.. 11/23/2010

...PLEASE SEE WWW.SPC.NOAA.GOV FOR GRAPHIC PRODUCT...

ATTN...WFO...PAH...MEG...

LAT...LON   35169082 36869036 38218901 38438817 37978766 36678816
            35408888 35118930 34948994 35169082


This weather bulletin was brought to you by:
www.nashvilleweather.net