[BNAWX] Severe Storm Outlook Narrative

[EMWIN Server]

ACUS11 KWNS 171648
SWOMCD
SPC MCD 171648
VAZ000-TNZ000-KYZ000-NCZ000-171745-

MESOSCALE DISCUSSION 0590
NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK
1148 AM CDT MON MAY 17 2010

AREAS AFFECTED...KY/TN AND FAR WRN NC/VA

CONCERNING...SEVERE POTENTIAL...WATCH POSSIBLE

VALID 171648Z - 171745Z

MULTICELLULAR STORMS CAPABLE OF DMGG WINDS WILL DEVELOP THIS
AFTERNOON ACROSS PORTIONS OF KY/TN. AREA IS BEING MONITORED FOR A
POSSIBLE WW.

CLOUD COVER FROM THIS MORNING HAS CLEARED SIGNIFICANTLY...ALLOWING
AMPLE HEATING ACROSS MUCH OF KY/TN. CU FIELD IS NOW BECOMING
AGITATED ALONG A FRONTAL BOUNDARY EXTENDING SSWWD FROM A SURFACE LOW
IN ERN KY...TO JUST N OF HUNTSVILLE AL. ANOTHER VORT MAX EVIDENT ON
WV IMAGERY IN CNTRL KY/TN WILL SUPPORT UPWARD MOTION...INFLUENCING
ADDITIONAL DEVELOPMENT AS DESTABILIZATION CONTINUES. LITTLE
CONVECTIVE INHIBITION REMAINS...AND INCREASING REFLECTIVITY AND
OCCASIONAL LIGHTNING STRIKES IN ERN KY WOULD SEEM TO INDICATE
FURTHER DEVELOPMENT IS LIKELY. ALTHOUGH LAPSE RATES ARE
WEAK...INCREASING INSTABILITY AND EFFECTIVE SHEAR NEAR 35 KTS WILL
SUPPORT MULTICELLULAR STORMS AND SMALL BOWING SEGMENTS CAPABLE OF
DMGG WINDS. A SECONDARY AREA OF DEVELOPMENT REMAINS POSSIBLE FARTHER
W NEAR A SURFACE LOW IN SRN IL/WRN KY...WITH VISIBLE IMAGERY SHOWING
A BOUNDARY EXTENDING FROM NEAR OWENSBORO KY TO JACKSON TN.

..HURLBUT.. 05/17/2010

...PLEASE SEE WWW.SPC.NOAA.GOV FOR GRAPHIC PRODUCT...

ATTN...WFO...RLX...GSP...MRX...JKL...LMK...OHX...HUN...

LAT...LON   37538318 37708241 37168190 35688236 35168312 35058511
            35178651 36438591 36978415 37538318



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