[BNAWX] Severe Storm Outlook Narrative

[EMWIN Server]

ACUS11 KWNS 072208
SWOMCD
SPC MCD 072207
KYZ000-INZ000-TNZ000-ILZ000-MOZ000-ARZ000-080000-

MESOSCALE DISCUSSION 0495
NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK
0507 PM CDT FRI MAY 07 2010

AREAS AFFECTED...WRN KY AND TN...FAR SRN IL AND IND...NERN AR/SERN
MO

CONCERNING...SEVERE POTENTIAL...WATCH POSSIBLE

VALID 072207Z - 080000Z

STORMS ARE EXPECTED TO INCREASE ALONG A COLD FRONT WITH SEVERE HAIL
AND PERHAPS A FEW WIND GUSTS THIS EVENING.

STORMS ARE CURRENTLY INCREASING ALONG THE COLD FRONT EXTENDING SWWD
ACROSS SERN IL INTO SERN MO.

ALTHOUGH STRONG CIN EXISTS OVER MUCH OF THE AREA...CONVERGENCE ALONG
THE FRONT...COMBINED WITH MODEST MOISTURE ADVECTION IN THE LOW
LEVELS AND HEIGHT FALLS WITH THE UPPER TROUGH SHOULD RESULT IN A NET
INCREASE IN STORM COVERAGE AND INTENSITY. FORECAST SOUNDINGS SHOW
RELATIVELY STEEP MID TO UPPER LEVEL LAPSE RATES AND AMPLE SPEED
SHEAR FOR LONG LIVED STORMS. ALTHOUGH STORM MOTIONS WILL BE FAST...A
GENERAL DECREASE IN LOW LEVEL LAPSE RATES MAY MARGINALIZE THE WIND
THREAT.

..JEWELL.. 05/07/2010

...PLEASE SEE WWW.SPC.NOAA.GOV FOR GRAPHIC PRODUCT...

ATTN...WFO...LMK...OHX...IND...PAH...MEG...

LAT...LON   38388810 38508739 38468552 37508573 36188699 35848789
            35538963 35489059 36099101 36879009 38098861 38388810



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