[BNAWX] Severe Storm Outlook Narrative

[EMWIN Server]

ACUS11 KWNS 011955
SWOMCD
SPC MCD 011954
TNZ000-GAZ000-ALZ000-MSZ000-ARZ000-012100-

MESOSCALE DISCUSSION 0446
NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK
0254 PM CDT SAT MAY 01 2010

AREAS AFFECTED...NRN MS/AL...WRN/CNTRL TN

CONCERNING...TORNADO WATCH 124...

VALID 011954Z - 012100Z

THE SEVERE WEATHER THREAT FOR TORNADO WATCH 124 CONTINUES.

SEVERE THREAT...INCLUDING TORNADOES...WILL CONTINUE PRIMARILY ACROSS
NRN PORTIONS OF WW124 BEYOND WATCH EXPIRATION.  TORNADO WATCH WILL
BE REISSUED BY 21Z TO ADDRESS THIS THREAT.

SEVERAL LONGER LIVED SUPERCELLS...ONE PARTICULARLY TORNADIC STORM
OVER NERN MS...CONTINUE ALONG SRN FRINGE OF QUASI-STATIONARY MCS.
MODELS SUGGEST WEAK SUBSIDENCE/CAPPING WILL GRADUALLY EXPAND NWD
ACROSS MUCH OF SRN/CNTRL MS AND AL...ULTIMATELY SUPPRESSING STRONGER
CONVECTION ACROSS THESE REGIONS.  DESPITE THE WEAK THUNDERSTORM
ACTIVITY LOCATED OVER CNTRL MS CURRENT THINKING IS GREATER SEVERE
RISK WILL REMAIN CONFINED TO TN AND EXTREME NRN MS/AL...THUS A NEW
TORNADO WATCH WILL BE ISSUED TO ADDRESS THIS LONGER TERM THREAT.

..DARROW.. 05/01/2010

...PLEASE SEE WWW.SPC.NOAA.GOV FOR GRAPHIC PRODUCT...

ATTN...WFO...MRX...FFC...OHX...BMX...HUN...MEG...JAN...

LAT...LON   35918953 36358577 35798460 34348593 33889092 35918953



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