[BNAWX] Severe Storm Outlook Narrative
EMWIN Server
emwin at nashvilleweather.net
Fri Apr 10 08:23:28 CDT 2009
ACUS11 KWNS 101323
SWOMCD
SPC MCD 101322
TNZ000-KYZ000-ALZ000-MSZ000-ARZ000-101445-
MESOSCALE DISCUSSION 0427
NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK
0822 AM CDT FRI APR 10 2009
AREAS AFFECTED...NRN MS...WRN TN AND SW KY
CONCERNING...SEVERE POTENTIAL...WATCH LIKELY
VALID 101322Z - 101445Z
STORMS ARE EXPECTED TO DEVELOP FROM NRN MS THROUGH WRN TN AND SW KY
AND INTENSIFY THROUGH THE MORNING. THREAT WILL EXIST FOR SUPERCELLS
AND BOWING SEGMENTS CAPABLE OF DAMAGING WIND...LARGE HAIL AND A FEW
TORNADOES. WATCH WILL LIKELY BE NEEDED SOON.
THIS MORNING A COLD FRONT EXTENDS FROM A SURFACE LOW IN SE MO SWWD
THROUGH ERN AR. A WARM FROM EXTENDS EWD FROM THE LOW THROUGH SRN KY.
THE WRM SECTOR IS ALREADY MODERATELY UNSTABLE FROM CNTRL MS NWD
THROUGH WRN TN...AND OBSERVED SOUNDING AND OBJECTIVE ANALYSIS DATA
INDICATE ONLY A MODEST CAP IN PLACE. AS THE BOUNDARY LAYER CONTINUES
TO WARM...STORMS ARE EXPECTED TO CONTINUE INCREASING ALONG AND AHEAD
OF THE COLD FRONT WITHIN ZONE OF FAVORABLE AGEOSTROPHIC FORCING FOR
ASCENT NORTH OF UPPER JET MAX FROM EXTREME ERN AR THROUGH WRN TN AND
NRN MS. STRONG BULK SHEAR AND LARGE LOW LEVEL HODOGRAPHS WILL
SUPPORT SUPERCELLS AND BOWING SEGMENTS WITH LARGE HAIL...DAMAGING
WIND AND A FEW TORNADOES PROBABLE.
..DIAL.. 04/10/2009
...PLEASE SEE WWW.SPC.NOAA.GOV FOR GRAPHIC PRODUCT...
ATTN...WFO...LMK...OHX...HUN...PAH...MEG...JAN...LZK...
LAT...LON 36798671 35578677 33248966 33769108 35658957 36998842
36798671
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