[BNAWX] Severe Storm Outlook Narrative
EMWIN Server
emwin at nashvilleweather.net
Thu Apr 2 23:51:10 CDT 2009
ACUS11 KWNS 030450
SWOMCD
SPC MCD 030450
TNZ000-NCZ000-SCZ000-GAZ000-ALZ000-030615-
MESOSCALE DISCUSSION 0382
NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK
1150 PM CDT THU APR 02 2009
AREAS AFFECTED...MIDDLE/EASTERN TN AND EASTERN AL INTO NORTH GA AND
THE WESTERN PORTIONS OF NC/SC
CONCERNING...SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WATCH 115...
VALID 030450Z - 030615Z
THE SEVERE WEATHER THREAT FOR SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WATCH 115
CONTINUES.
SEVERE TSTM WATCH 115 CONTINUES UNTIL 11Z ACROSS PORTIONS OF EASTERN
TN/NORTHERN GA INTO THE WESTERN PORTIONS OF NC/SC. FARTHER WEST...IT
SEEMS PRUDENT THAT TORNADO WATCH 112 WILL BE CANCELLED PRIOR TO THE
SCHEDULED 07Z EXPIRATION.
RISK OF PRIMARILY WIND DAMAGE WILL CONTINUE TO QUICKLY SHIFT
EASTWARD ACROSS EASTERN TN/NORTHERN GA INTO THE ADJACENT PORTIONS OF
NC/SC OVERNIGHT. EVEN WITH MEAGER INSTABILITY...STRONG DYNAMICAL
FORCING/KINEMATICS AHEAD OF A COMPACT SHORTWAVE TROUGH/MID LEVEL JET
APPROACHING THE TENNESSEE VALLEY WILL CONTINUE TO SUSTAIN A SEVERE
THREAT OVER THE NEXT SEVERAL HOURS. LONG DURATION/RELATIVELY SMALL
SCALE BROKEN LINEAR SEGMENTS WILL CONTINUE TO QUICKLY ADVANCE
EAST-NORTHEASTWARD ACROSS EASTERN TN...LARGELY CONCENTRATED IN A
REGION OF MAXIMIZED SURFACE PRESSURE FALLS /-3MB PER 2HR/. THIS
INCLUDES A RECENT MEASURED 45 KT WIND GUST AT THE KNOXVILLE AIRPORT.
FARTHER SOUTH...PREFRONTAL CONVERGENCE BAND OF LOW
TOPPED/NON-LIGHTNING PRODUCING STORMS...WITH HISTORY OF WIND DAMAGE
ACROSS NORTHERN AL...WILL CONTINUE TO RACE ACROSS NORTH GA
OVERNIGHT...POSING A THREAT FOR AT LEAST ISOLATED CONVECTIVELY
ENHANCED WIND GUSTS EVEN AMIDST LIMITED BUOYANCY.
..GUYER.. 04/03/2009
...PLEASE SEE WWW.SPC.NOAA.GOV FOR GRAPHIC PRODUCT...
ATTN...WFO...GSP...MRX...FFC...OHX...BMX...
LAT...LON 36478418 36468244 34678220 33258324 32688589 34668498
36238486 36478418
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