[BNAWX] Severe Storm Outlook Narrative

EMWIN Server emwin at nashvilleweather.net
Thu Apr 2 16:36:34 CDT 2009


ACUS11 KWNS 022136
SWOMCD
SPC MCD 022135
KYZ000-OHZ000-TNZ000-INZ000-022300-

MESOSCALE DISCUSSION 0374
NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK
0435 PM CDT THU APR 02 2009

AREAS AFFECTED...CENTRAL/EASTERN KY INTO SOUTHERN INDIANA/SOUTHWEST
OH

CONCERNING...SEVERE POTENTIAL...WATCH LIKELY

VALID 022135Z - 022300Z

DOWNSTREAM OF TORNADO WATCH 109...A NEW WATCH MAY BE NEEDED WITHIN
THE HOUR ACROSS PORTIONS OF CENTRAL/EASTERN KY AND SOUTHERN
INDIANA/SOUTHWEST OH.

EVOLVING/INCREASINGLY EXTENSIVE NORTH-SOUTH QLCS...WITH LEADING
QUASI-DISCRETE CORES...CONTINUES TO EXPAND EAST-NORTHEASTWARD FROM
ALONG THE SOUTHEAST IL/SOUTHWEST INDIANA BORDER INTO MIDDLE TN AS OF
2130Z. THERE HAS ALSO BEEN A RECENT TENDENCY FOR DEEPENING STORMS
ACROSS NORTHEAST KY WHERE STRONGER INSOLATION HAS RESULTED IN LITTLE
CINH AHEAD OF THE UPSTREAM QLCS. EVEN WITH RELATIVELY MODEST
INSTABILITY AND SURFACE DEWPOINTS IN THE 50S F...STEEP LOW-MID LAPSE
RATE ENVIRONMENT AND AMPLE DEEP LAYER FLOW/MARKED LOW LEVEL BACKING
WILL CONTINUE TO FAVOR WELL-ORGANIZED/ROTATING STORMS CAPABLE OF
HAIL/WIND AND ISOLATED TORNADOES. IT APPEARS AN ADDITIONAL WATCH
WILL LIKELY BE NEEDED WITHIN THE HOUR.

..GUYER.. 04/02/2009

...PLEASE SEE WWW.SPC.NOAA.GOV FOR GRAPHIC PRODUCT...

ATTN...WFO...JKL...ILN...LMK...OHX...IND...PAH...

LAT...LON   38548752 39388636 39228402 38088327 36988394 36228562
            37538665 38548752



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