[BNAWX] Severe Storm Outlook Narrative

[EMWIN Server]

ACUS11 KWNS 312219
SWOMCD
SPC MCD 312219
VAZ000-KYZ000-TNZ000-GAZ000-ALZ000-312315-

MESOSCALE DISCUSSION 1123
NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK
0519 PM CDT SAT MAY 31 2008

AREAS AFFECTED...MIDDLE AND ERN TN...SERN KY AND FAR SWRN VA

CONCERNING...SEVERE POTENTIAL...WATCH UNLIKELY

VALID 312219Z - 312315Z

ISOLATED HAIL AND STRONG WIND GUSTS WILL BE POSSIBLE.

WATER VAPOR IMAGERY AND VWPS FROM AREA WSR-88DS/WIND PROFILERS
INDICATED A WEAK MID LEVEL IMPULSE TRACKING EWD INTO THE LOWER TN
VALLEY.  FORCING FOR ASCENT WITH THIS IMPULSE COMBINED WITH STEEP
LOW AND MID LEVEL LAPSE RATES ARE EXPECTED TO SUPPORT ADDITIONAL
TSTMS ALONG TRAILING PORTION OF FRONT WHICH EXTENDED SWWD THROUGH
MIDDLE TO SWRN TN.  RESIDUAL MOIST AIR MASS ALONG THIS FRONT IS
SUPPORTING MODERATE INSTABILITY AXIS EXTENDING NEWD ACROSS
MIDDLE/ERN TN INTO ERN KY/FAR SWRN VA.  THIS COMBINED WITH EFFECTIVE
BULK SHEAR AROUND 30 KT SUGGESTS A FEW STORMS WILL BE CAPABLE OF
BECOMING SEVERE PRODUCING ISOLATED HAIL AND STRONG WIND GUSTS.

..PETERS.. 05/31/2008

...PLEASE SEE WWW.SPC.NOAA.GOV FOR GRAPHIC PRODUCT...

ATTN...WFO...MRX...JKL...FFC...LMK...OHX...HUN...MEG...

35268836 36228631 36968529 37328401 37288296 36858283
36318280 35608381 34998493 34968607 35098765

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