[BNAWX] Severe Storm Outlook Narrative

[EMWIN Server]

ACUS11 KWNS 030858
SWOMCD
SPC MCD 030858
TNZ000-ALZ000-MSZ000-ARZ000-LAZ000-TXZ000-031000-

MESOSCALE DISCUSSION 0783
NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK
0358 AM CDT SAT MAY 03 2008

AREAS AFFECTED...LA...SCNTRL MS

CONCERNING...SEVERE POTENTIAL...WATCH LIKELY

VALID 030858Z - 031000Z

THE SEVERE THREAT SHOULD EXPAND SEWD ACROSS SCNTRL LA AND SCNTRL MS
OVER THE NEXT 1 TO 2 HOURS. A NEW TORNADO WATCH WILL BECOME
NECESSARY ACROSS THE REGION SHORTLY.

THE CONVECTIVE LINE ACROSS CNTRL LA AND CNTRL MS IS ORIENTED ALONG
THE WRN EDGE OF MODERATE INSTABILITY AXIS ACCORDING TO THE LATEST
RUC ANALYSIS DATA. MLCAPE VALUES RANGE FROM 1000 TO 2000 J/KG
SUGGESTING THE LINE SHOULD PERSIST THROUGH LATE TONIGHT. ADDITIONAL
CELLS ARE DEVELOPING AHEAD OF THE LINEAR MCS ACROSS SRN MS AND THIS
ACTIVITY MAY EXPAND IN COVERAGE OVER THE NEXT HOUR OR TWO. LATEST
WSR-88D VWPS SHOW STRONG LOW-LEVEL SHEAR PROFILES ALONG WITH
MODERATE VERTICAL SHEAR WHICH WILL BE FAVORABLE FOR SEVERE STORMS
CAPABLE OF PRODUCING WIND DAMAGE. TORNADOES WILL ALSO BE POSSIBLE
WITH ROTATING STORMS AHEAD OF AND EMBEDDED IN THE CONVECTIVE LINE.

..BROYLES.. 05/03/2008

...PLEASE SEE WWW.SPC.NOAA.GOV FOR GRAPHIC PRODUCT...

ATTN...WFO...OHX...BMX...HUN...MEG...JAN...LIX...LZK...LCH...SHV...

30689172 30599363 31479396 32409320 34829000 35628649
32198866 31319030



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