[BNAWX] Severe Storm Outlook Narrative

[EMWIN Server]

ACUS11 KWNS 231945
SWOMCD
SPC MCD 231944
TNZ000-GAZ000-ALZ000-MSZ000-232115-

MESOSCALE DISCUSSION 1538
NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK
0244 PM CDT MON JUN 23 2008

AREAS AFFECTED...NE MS...NRN AL...TN

CONCERNING...SEVERE POTENTIAL...WATCH UNLIKELY

VALID 231944Z - 232115Z

A THREAT FOR HAIL AND STRONG GUSTY WINDS WILL LIKELY EXIST WITH
CONVECTION MOVING SEWD ACROSS MIDDLE TN AND NRN AL OVER THE NEXT 1
TO 2 HOURS. THE ENVIRONMENT APPEARS MARGINAL TO WARRANT WW ISSUANCE.

LATEST SFC ANALYSIS SHOWS A MOIST AXIS EXTENDING NNEWD ACROSS MS
INTO WRN TN WITH DEWPOINTS IN THE UPPER 60S F. SCATTERED
THUNDERSTORMS HAVE INCREASED ALONG THE ERN EDGE OF THE MOIST AXIS.
RUC ANALYSIS INDICATES A VORTICITY MAX EXISTS OVER MIDDLE TN AND
LARGE-SCALE ASCENT ASSOCIATED WITH THIS FEATURE MAY RESULT IN A
GRADUAL INCREASE IN CONVECTIVE COVERAGE OVER THE NEXT FEW HOURS. AS
THE STORMS MOVE INTO A DRIER AIRMASS ACROSS NRN AL AND MIDDLE
TN...THE LARGE-TEMP DEWPOINT SPREADS SHOULD AID STRONG GUSTY WINDS
WITH THE MORE ORGANIZED MULTICELL LINE SEGMENTS. IN ADDITION...TEMPS
ALOFT APPEAR COLD ENOUGH FOR HAIL WITH THE MORE INTENSE CORES. THE
SEVERE THREAT IS EXPECTED TO REMAIN MARGINAL THIS AFTERNOON.

..BROYLES.. 06/23/2008

...PLEASE SEE WWW.SPC.NOAA.GOV FOR GRAPHIC PRODUCT...

ATTN...WFO...MRX...FFC...OHX...BMX...HUN...MEG...JAN...

34158705 33238857 33758920 35558762 36288600 36148460
35188469



This weather bulletin was brought to you by:
www.nashvilleweather.net