[BNAWX] Severe Storm Outlook Narrative

[EMWIN Server]

ACUS11 KWNS 161807
SWOMCD
SPC MCD 161806
NCZ000-SCZ000-GAZ000-TNZ000-161930-

MESOSCALE DISCUSSION 1419
NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK
0106 PM CDT MON JUN 16 2008

AREAS AFFECTED...NRN GA...WESTERN SC...WESTERN NC

CONCERNING...SEVERE POTENTIAL...WATCH POSSIBLE

VALID 161806Z - 161930Z

THUNDERSTORMS HAVE BEGUN TO FORM ON HIGHER TERRAIN OF WESTERN NC
INTO NORTH GA.  ISOLATED SEVERE STORMS ARE EXPECTED.  THIS AREA WILL
BE MONITORED FOR POSSIBLE WW.

VISIBLE SATELLITE AND RADAR DATA SUGGEST SCATTERED THUNDERSTORMS
HAVE BEGUN TO FORM OVER THE MOUNTAINS OF WESTERN NC INTO NORTHEAST
GA.  TEMPERATURES IN THIS REGION HAVE WARMED INTO THE UPPER
80S...YIELDING STEEP LOW LEVEL LAPSE RATES AND MLCAPE VALUES OVER
1500 J/KG.  FORECAST SOUNDINGS IN THIS REGION SHOW RATHER COOL MID
LEVEL TEMPERATURES AS WELL /-9 AT 500MB/ AND SUFFICIENT DEEP LAYER
VERTICAL SHEAR FOR SOME CONVECTIVE ORGANIZATION.  MULTICELL CLUSTERS
ARE LIKELY TO EVOLVE THIS AFTERNOON...SPREADING SOUTHEASTWARD INTO
PARTS OF SC/GA.  INITIAL STORMS WILL POSE A THREAT OF HAIL AND GUSTY
WINDS.  HOWEVER...IF SUFFICIENT NUMBERS OF STORMS CAN BECOME
ESTABLISHED...SOME POTENTIAL EXISTS FOR A MORE ORGANIZED WIND DAMAGE
THREAT LATER THIS AFTERNOON.  THIS REGION WILL BE MONITORED FOR
UPSCALE ORGANIZATION AND THE POSSIBILITY OF A WW.

..HART.. 06/16/2008

...PLEASE SEE WWW.SPC.NOAA.GOV FOR GRAPHIC PRODUCT...

ATTN...WFO...RNK...CAE...GSP...MRX...FFC...

34828463 35828266 36008122 34898070 33968231 33518413
33998494

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