[BNAWX] Severe Storm Outlook Narrative

[EMWIN Server]

ACUS11 KWNS 022203
SWOMCD
SPC MCD 022202
TNZ000-MSZ000-KYZ000-MOZ000-ARZ000-022330-

MESOSCALE DISCUSSION 1161
NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK
0502 PM CDT MON JUN 02 2008

AREAS AFFECTED...SERN MO...NERN AR...WRN TN...FAR NRN MS

CONCERNING...SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WATCH 424...

VALID 022202Z - 022330Z

THE SEVERE WEATHER THREAT FOR SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WATCH 424
CONTINUES.

DERECHO THAT AFFECTED MUCH OF ERN KS INTO SRN MO LATE NIGHT THROUGH
THIS AFTN APPEARS TO BE WEAKENING OVER SERN MO AT 22Z.  PLAN VIEW OF
THE PROFILERS SHOW THAT THE MCS WAS BEGINNING TO OUTRUN THE MORE
SUBSTANTIAL LOW-LEVEL SSWLY FLOW THAT WAS FEEDING THE COMPLEX WITH
VERY UNSTABLE PARCELS.  AIR MASS DOWNSTREAM WAS VERY UNSTABLE WITH
ABOUT 2500 J/KG MLCAPE.  WHILE THE OUTFLOW BOUNDARY MAY SERVE AS A
FOCUS FOR ADDITIONAL UPDRAFTS WITHIN THIS MOIST LOW-LEVEL AIR
MASS...PRIMARY TRAJECTORY FEEDING EARLIER STORMS WAS FROM THE STEEP
LAPSE RATES SRN PLAINS ENVIRONMENT.  AS A RESULT...THE MORE INTENSE
SVR WEATHER NOTED EARLIER UPSTREAM IS NOT LIKELY TO CONTINUE.
NONETHELESS...POTENTIAL WILL EXIST FOR DMGG WIND GUSTS FOR A FEW
MORE HOURS ACROSS THE MID-SOUTH.

..RACY.. 06/02/2008

...PLEASE SEE WWW.SPC.NOAA.GOV FOR GRAPHIC PRODUCT...

ATTN...WFO...PAH...MEG...LSX...LZK...SGF...

35429135 36809274 37509260 37959175 37159048 36508951
35908845 35068819 34458832 34508879 34789015

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