[BNAWX] Severe Storm Outlook Narrative

[EMWIN Server]

ACUS11 KWNS 012259
SWOMCD
SPC MCD 012258
DEZ000-MDZ000-VAZ000-WVZ000-NCZ000-TNZ000-KYZ000-020030-

MESOSCALE DISCUSSION 1145
NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK
0558 PM CDT SUN JUN 01 2008

AREAS AFFECTED...ERN KY / SRN WV / SRN HALF OF VA / ERN SHORE REGION

CONCERNING...SEVERE POTENTIAL...WATCH UNLIKELY

VALID 012258Z - 020030Z

ONGOING STRONG / SEVERE T-STORMS WILL LIKELY PERSIST FOR ONLY A FEW
MORE HOURS.  AS A RESULT...A WW ISSUANCE IS NOT LIKELY.

AT 2250Z...REGIONAL RADAR IMAGERY SHOWED A LINE OF STORMS EXTENDING
EWD FROM CENTRAL KY TO THE APPALACHIANS WITH A BROKEN LINE OF
QUASI-DISCRETE STORMS AFFECTING THE MID-ATLANTIC REGION.  RECENT
SURFACE ANALYSIS SUGGESTS THESE STORMS ARE GENERALLY LOCATED ON OR
NEAR THE SEWD MOVING COLD FRONT.  MODEST TO STRONG DEEP LAYER FLOW
SUPPORTING THESE STORMS /35-50 KTS EFFECTIVE SHEAR/ SHOULD ENABLE
STORM ORGANIZATION DESPITE WANING INSTABILITY DUE IN LARGE PART TO
LOSS OF DAYTIME HEATING.

...VA/ERN SHORE REGION...
SEMI-DISCRETE NATURE OF ONGOING STORMS SUGGESTS LARGE HAIL AND
DAMAGING WINDS APPEAR TO BE THE PRIMARY THREAT.

...KY/WV...
LINEAR MODE OF STORMS SUGGESTS THE MAIN THREAT WITH THESE STORMS
WILL BE DAMAGING WINDS AND PERHAPS ISOLATED LARGE HAIL.

..SMITH.. 06/01/2008

...PLEASE SEE WWW.SPC.NOAA.GOV FOR GRAPHIC PRODUCT...

ATTN...WFO...PHI...AKQ...LWX...RNK...RLX...MRX...JKL...LMK...

37738500 37618286 37678035 37877890 38297677 38867549
38727485 37327537 37027649 36877724 36737863 36508053
36458294 36568429 37288498

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