[BNAWX] Severe Storm Outlook Narrative

[EMWIN Server]

ACUS11 KWNS 081727
SWOMCD
SPC MCD 081727
KYZ000-INZ000-TNZ000-ILZ000-MSZ000-MOZ000-ARZ000-LAZ000-TXZ000-081930-

MESOSCALE DISCUSSION 0029
NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK
1127 AM CST TUE JAN 08 2008

AREAS AFFECTED...CENTRAL AND ERN AR/NWRN MS/WRN TN/SERN MO/SWRN KY

CONCERNING...TORNADO WATCH 8...

VALID 081727Z - 081930Z

THE SEVERE WEATHER THREAT FOR TORNADO WATCH 8 CONTINUES.

BROKEN LINE OF STRONG/SEVERE STORMS WITH EMBEDDED SUPERCELLS
CONTINUES MOVING ENEWD ACROSS AR ATTM.  SEVERE/TORNADO THREAT
CONTINUES.

LATEST SURFACE OBSERVATIONS AND OBJECTIVE ANALYSES CONTINUE TO
REVEAL A MOIST/MODESTLY-UNSTABLE (AROUND 500 J/KG MIXED-LAYER CAPE)
WARM-SECTOR AIRMASS ACROSS AR/WRN TN AND SWD INTO E TX/LA/WRN MS.
STORMS CONTINUE MOVING GENERALLY ENEWD ACROSS AR AND ADJACENT PARTS
OF SERN MO ATTM...WITH STORM INTENSITY/ROTATION BEING AIDED BY VERY
FAVORABLE LOW- TO MID-LEVEL WIND FIELD.  AREA VWP AND PROFILER DATA
AS WELL AS RECENT ACARS DATA FROM PAH INDICATE FAVORABLE
VEERING/INCREASING FLOW WITH HEIGHT -- SUPPORTIVE OF SUPERCELLS WITH
LOW-LEVEL ROTATION AND ASSOCIATED TORNADO POTENTIAL.

RADAR DATA SHOWS THAT THE SUPERCELL WHICH EARLIER RESULTED IN A
TORNADO NEAR THE POPE/VAN BUREN AR COUNTY LINE HAS WEAKENED
SOMEWHAT...BUT CONTINUES MOVING ENEWD ACROSS RANDOLPH CO AR TOWARD
CLAY CO AR AND ADJACENT SERN MO.  OTHER STORMS HAVE ALSO SHOWN
OCCASIONAL LOW-LEVEL ROTATION -- INCLUDING A CELL NOW CROSSING NERN
GRANT CO AND APPROACHING NWRN JEFFERSON AND SWRN PULASKI COUNTIES IN
AR.

WITH FAVORABLE INSTABILITY/SHEAR COMBINATION EITHER SIDE OF THE MS
RIVER VALLEY FROM ROUGHLY SERN MO/WRN KY SWD...IT APPEARS THAT THE
SEVERE/TORNADO THREAT ACROSS THIS REGION/IN AND NEAR WW #0008 WILL
CONTINUE OVER THE NEXT FEW HOURS.

..GOSS.. 01/08/2008

...PLEASE SEE WWW.SPC.NOAA.GOV FOR GRAPHIC PRODUCT...

ATTN...WFO...OHX...PAH...MEG...JAN...LSX...LZK...SGF...SHV...

33149432 33889396 36459226 37409101 38068832 37748730
36578771 34058987 33069116 32969367



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