[BNAWX] Severe Storm Outlook Narrative

[EMWIN Server]

ACUS11 KWNS 061350
SWOMCD
SPC MCD 061349
WVZ000-VAZ000-NCZ000-TNZ000-KYZ000-SCZ000-GAZ000-061545-

MESOSCALE DISCUSSION 0181
NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK
0749 AM CST WED FEB 06 2008

AREAS AFFECTED...PORTIONS SRN WV...ERN TN...EXTREME NWRN SC...FAR
SWRN VA...EXTREME N-CENTRAL/NERN GA...EXTREME ERN KY.

CONCERNING...SEVERE POTENTIAL...WATCH UNLIKELY

VALID 061349Z - 061545Z

ADDITIONAL WW MAY NOT BE NECESSARY FOR DISCUSSION AREA DURING NEXT
COUPLE HOURS...HOWEVER SVR POTENTIAL MAY INCREASE AGAIN LATER TODAY
ALONG AND E OF BLUE RIDGE.

BAND OF TSTMS WILL CONTINUE TO MOVE EWD ACROSS CENTRAL/SRN
APPALACHIANS THROUGH REMAINDER MORNING...WITH POTENTIAL FOR EPISODIC
STG/SVR GUSTS AND ISOLATED WIND DAMAGE FROM MOST INTENSE CELLS.
ALTHOUGH INDIVIDUAL STG-SVR ELEMENTS REMAIN EMBEDDED WITHIN THIS
ACTIVITY...OVERALL/GRADUAL DISORGANIZING TREND HAS BECOME APPARENT
BOTH IN REFLECTIVITY AND LIGHTNING PATTERNS.  THIS IS OCCURRING AS
CONVECTION MOVES INTO AIR MASS CHARACTERIZED BY RELATIVELY LOW SFC
THETAE...WITH TEMPS COMMONLY MID/UPPER 50S F AND DEW POINTS RANGING
FROM UPPER 50S TO MID 50S F MOST AREAS.  POCKETS OF SOMEWHAT HIGHER
TEMPS/DEW POINTS ARE EVIDENT MAINLY ACROSS FAR WRN SC AND NRN GA N
AND E OF EXISTING WWS.  MODIFICATIONS TO RAOBS AND RUC SOUNDINGS
INDICATE BOUNDARY LAYER IN MOST OF THIS CORRIDOR SHOULD NOT
DESTABILIZE ENOUGH DIURNALLY TO OFFSET WEAK LAPSE RATES
ALOFT...RESULTING IN LITTLE OR NO CAPE IN PROSPECTIVE PATH OF
EXISTING ACTIVITY.

..EDWARDS.. 02/06/2008

...PLEASE SEE WWW.SPC.NOAA.GOV FOR GRAPHIC PRODUCT...

ATTN...WFO...RNK...RLX...GSP...MRX...JKL...FFC...

34808505 36478350 38308159 37918042 37108080 36128175
34718294 34518388

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