[BNAWX] Severe Storm Outlook Narrative

EMWIN Server emwin at nashvilleweather.net
Wed Dec 10 01:27:14 CST 2008


ACUS11 KWNS 100726
SWOMCD
SPC MCD 100725
GAZ000-ALZ000-TNZ000-FLZ000-MSZ000-LAZ000-100830-

MESOSCALE DISCUSSION 2436
NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK
0125 AM CST WED DEC 10 2008

AREAS AFFECTED...PARTS OF ERN AL/NWRN GA

CONCERNING...SEVERE POTENTIAL...WATCH POSSIBLE

VALID 100725Z - 100830Z

NEW TORNADO WATCH WILL BE ISSUED FOR SERN MS...MUCH OF AL INTO NWRN
GA.  THIS NEW WATCH WILL REPLACE WW 947.

EARLY MORNING SURFACE ANALYSIS INDICATED A COLD FRONT EXTENDING FROM
WRN OH SWWD THROUGH WRN TN TO LA.  MEANWHILE...A BROKEN LINE OF
STRONG TO SEVERE SUPERCELLS CONTINUED TO TRACK TO THE NE ALONG A
PRE-FRONTAL TROUGH WHICH EXTENDED FROM SERN LA THROUGH ERN MS TO A
MESO-LOW ANALYZED OVER NERN MS.  A SURFACE BOUNDARY EXTENDED ENEWD
FROM THIS LOW TO NERN AL AND SERN TN.  INSTABILITY REMAINS LIMITED
WITH NWD EXTENT ACROSS NERN AL/NWRN GA...WITH MUCAPE 100-300
J/KG...WHILE GREATER INSTABILITY REMAINED FURTHER S ACROSS SERN
MS/SRN AL.  DESPITE THE WEAK INSTABILITY WITH NWD EXTENT...A STRONG
SLY LLJ WILL MAINTAIN MOISTURE RETURN AND SUPPORT DESTABILIZATION
FOR SURFACE BASED STORMS ACROSS ERN AL/NWRN GA.
LOW LEVEL VORTICITY ALONG THE NRN AL SURFACE BOUNDARY AND TRAILING
TROUGH IN MS COMBINED WITH STRONG LOW LEVEL SHEAR PER 50-60 KT SLY
LLJ WILL MAINTAIN LARGE LOW LEVEL HODOGRAPHS FOR STORM ROTATION AND
ADDITIONAL TORNADIC POTENTIAL.

..PETERS.. 12/10/2008

...PLEASE SEE WWW.SPC.NOAA.GOV FOR GRAPHIC PRODUCT...

ATTN...WFO...MRX...FFC...TAE...BMX...HUN...MOB...JAN...LIX...

LAT...LON   35338512 34428480 33288494 32288518 31408640 30378716
            30008799 29518840 29788949 30089016 30838979 32078889
            32968811 33658751 34328666 34588633 35238566 35338512

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