[BNAWX] Severe Storm Outlook Narrative

[EMWIN Server]

ACUS11 KWNS 260306
SWOMCD
SPC MCD 260306
TNZ000-MSZ000-MOZ000-ARZ000-260400-

MESOSCALE DISCUSSION 0740
NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK
1006 PM CDT FRI APR 25 2008

AREAS AFFECTED...ERN AR...WRN TN AND NW MS

CONCERNING...SEVERE POTENTIAL...WATCH UNLIKELY

VALID 260306Z - 260400Z

AN ISOLATED SEVERE THREAT MAY CONTINUE TO SPREAD ESEWD INTO WRN TN
AND NW MS OVER THE NEXT FEW HOURS. HAIL AND ISOLATED WIND DAMAGE
WILL BE THE PRIMARY THREATS WITH THE ACTIVITY.

LATEST SFC ANALYSIS SHOWS A COLD FRONT ADVANCING EWD ACROSS SE MO
AND CNTRL AR WITH A NARROW MOIST AXIS CONTAINING LOWER TO MID 60S F
DEWPOINTS JUST AHEAD OF THE FRONT. OBJECTIVE ANALYSIS SUGGESTS AN
AXIS OF MODERATE INSTABILITY EXISTS ALONG THE MOIST AXIS ACROSS SRN
AND CNTRL AR EXTENDING EWD ACROSS NRN MS. THIS SUGGEST THE GREATER
SEVERE POTENTIAL...CURRENTLY OVER NE AR...SHOULD GRADUALLY SHIFT
SEWD ACROSS SWRN TN AND NW MS AS THE CONVECTIVE LINE MOVES EWD.
ALTHOUGH VERTICAL SHEAR ALONG THIS CORRIDOR IS STILL WEAK...FORECAST
SOUNDINGS ACROSS THE REGION STRENGTHEN VERTICAL SHEAR AS MID-LEVEL
FLOW INCREASES FROM WEST TO EAST OVER THE NEXT FEW HOURS. THIS
SHOULD BE SUFFICIENT FOR AN ISOLATED SEVERE THREAT. HOWEVER...THE
THREAT SHOULD BECOME INCREASINGLY MARGINAL AFTER MIDNIGHT.

..BROYLES.. 04/26/2008

...PLEASE SEE WWW.SPC.NOAA.GOV FOR GRAPHIC PRODUCT...

ATTN...WFO...PAH...MEG...JAN...LZK...

33459246 33959238 35179132 36099041 36488948 36438892
36178852 35648852 35108883 33978999 33359087 33159162
33229213



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