[BNAWX] Severe Storm Outlook Narrative

[EMWIN Server]

ACUS11 KWNS 110255
SWOMCD
SPC MCD 110254
INZ000-KYZ000-TNZ000-ILZ000-MSZ000-MOZ000-ARZ000-110400-

MESOSCALE DISCUSSION 0629
NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK
0954 PM CDT THU APR 10 2008

AREAS AFFECTED...SRN IL / SWRN IND / WRN KY / WRN TN / NRN MS

CONCERNING...TORNADO WATCH 193...

VALID 110254Z - 110400Z

THE SEVERE WEATHER THREAT FOR TORNADO WATCH 193 CONTINUES.

THE THREAT FOR ISOLATED SEVERE WEATHER MAY CONTINUE BEYOND 04Z.
CURRENTLY...IT IS EXPECTED THAT AN ADDITIONAL WW WILL LIKELY NOT BE
NEEDED.

BROKEN BAND OF TSTMS WHICH BRIEFLY INTENSIFIED AROUND 00Z HAS SINCE
WEAKENED WITH THE LINE EXTENDING FROM EVV TO HOP TO E OF MKL AS OF
0230Z.  IT APPEARS THAT THE CAPPING OBSERVED ON THE 00Z BNA AND JAN
SOUNDINGS IS INHIBITING THE DEVELOPMENT OF STRONGER AND MORE
PERSISTENT UPDRAFTS.  THIS IS ESPECIALLY THE CASE NOW THAT THE
BOUNDARY LAYER IS BEGINNING TO COOL.  VERTICAL SHEAR REMAINS QUITE
STRONG...BOTH IN THE LOW LEVELS AND THROUGH A DEEP LAYER..AND SOME
THREAT FOR A BRIEF TORNADO AND/OR LOCALLY DAMAGING WINDS WILL EXIST
WITH ANY MORE INTENSE CONVECTIVE ELEMENTS MOVING E OF WW 193.

AN ADDITIONAL BAND OF TSTMS CONTINUES TO EVOLVE FROM NEAR PAH SWWD
TO LLQ...LIKELY WITHIN AN AXIS OF DEEPER CONFLUENCE WHICH HAS NOW
BECOME ALIGNED MORE IN A NE-SW FASHION.  CURRENTLY...THE MORE
INTENSE...EMBEDDED STORMS RESIDE WITHIN WW 194...BUT WITH TIME SOME
OF THESE STORMS MAY MOVE/DEVELOP INTO WW 193.  STILL...IT APPEARS
THAT ANY SEVERE WEATHER THREAT WILL REMAIN ISOLATED AND  AN
ADDITIONAL WW IS NOT ANTICIPATED.

..MEAD.. 04/11/2008

...PLEASE SEE WWW.SPC.NOAA.GOV FOR GRAPHIC PRODUCT...

ATTN...WFO...LMK...OHX...IND...PAH...ILX...MEG...JAN...LSX...LZK...

33159013 33299133 33589141 34269100 34199030 34829027
34828984 35128977 35138940 36398923 36478976 38038982
38778870 38678694 38248661 36388701 35498796 34638855
33958880 33588892 33208910



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