[BNAWX] Severe Storm Outlook Narrative

[EMWIN Server]

ACUS11 KWNS 062100
SWOMCD
SPC MCD 062100
MSZ000-TNZ000-ARZ000-062230-

MESOSCALE DISCUSSION 0728
NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK
0400 PM CDT SUN MAY 06 2007

AREAS AFFECTED...NORTHEAST AR/NORTHERN MS

CONCERNING...SEVERE POTENTIAL...WATCH UNLIKELY

VALID 062100Z - 062230Z

POTENTIAL WILL EXIST FOR A FEW DAMAGING DOWNBURSTS/PERHAPS LARGE
HAIL...IN ADDITION TO LOCALLY HEAVY RAINFALL...FROM NORTHEAST AR
INTO NORTHERN MS OVER THE NEXT SEVERAL HOURS.

BENEATH UPPER RIDGE...STRONG STORMS HAVE INTENSIFIED ALONG A WEAK
FRONTAL BOUNDARY IN A NORTHWEST-SOUTHEAST CORRIDOR FROM NORTHEAST AR
INTO NORTH CENTRAL MS. AMBIENT AIRMASS ALONG THE BOUNDARY IS VERY
UNSTABLE...WITH MLCAPES APPROACHING 3000 J/KG. DEEP LAYER WIND
FIELDS ARE VERY WEAK BENEATH THE RIDGE PER REGIONAL WSR-88D VWP
DATA...ALTHOUGH STRONG INSTABILITY WILL SUPPORT A
PULSE-TYPE/ISOLATED SEVERE THREAT. DRY AIR ALOFT/STEEP LOW LEVEL
LAPSE RATES WILL FAVOR THE POSSIBILITY OF ISOLATED DAMAGING
DOWNBURSTS...WITH EPISODIC LARGE HAIL POSSIBLE AS WELL. STORMS
SHOULD DIMINISH BY AROUND SUNSET.

..GUYER.. 05/06/2007

...PLEASE SEE WWW.SPC.NOAA.GOV FOR GRAPHIC PRODUCT...

ATTN...WFO...MEG...JAN...LZK...

36279102 35068989 33598868 33078861 32748927 33449025
35689135



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