[BNAWX] Severe Storm Outlook Narrative

[EMWIN Server]

ACUS11 KWNS 052146
SWOMCD
SPC MCD 052146
GAZ000-ALZ000-TNZ000-052315-

MESOSCALE DISCUSSION 0710
NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK
0446 PM CDT SAT MAY 05 2007

AREAS AFFECTED...MIDDLE TN INTO NORTHEAST AL/NORTHWEST GA

CONCERNING...SEVERE POTENTIAL...WATCH UNLIKELY

VALID 052146Z - 052315Z

ISOLATED SOUTH CENTRAL TN SUPERCELL...AND PERHAPS ADDITIONAL
DEVELOPMENT...WILL LIKELY CONTINUE TO POSE AN ISOLATED RISK OF
MAINLY LARGE HAIL/STRONG WIND GUSTS FROM MIDDLE TN INTO PORTIONS OF
NORTHEAST AL/NORTHWEST GA OVER THE NEXT SEVERAL HOURS. A WATCH IS
NOT CURRENTLY ANTICIPATED.

SUPERCELL IN MOORE/EASTERN LINCOLN COUNTIES TN CONTINUES TO MOVE
SOUTHEASTWARD ALONG QUASI-STATIONARY FRONTAL BOUNDARY ARCING FROM
MIDDLE TN INTO NORTHEAST AL/WEST CENTRAL GA. A FAIRLY UNSTABLE
AIRMASS IS IN PLACE ALONG THE FRONT FROM MIDDLE TN INTO NORTHEAST
AL...WITH MLCAPES GENERALLY AROUND 1000 J/KG. SURFACE ADJUSTED
WSR-88D VWP DATA FROM HYTOP AL SUPPORTS EFFECTIVE BULK SHEAR OF 35
KTS WITHIN THIS CORRIDOR...FAVORABLE FOR THE DEVELOP/MAINTENENCE OF
SUPERCELLS INTO EARLY EVENING. WHILE A FEW SUPERCELL STRUCTURES
CAPABLE OF LARGE HAIL/STRONG WIND GUSTS ARE POSSIBLE...ACTIVITY
SHOULD WEAKEN SHORTLY AFTER SUNSET. EXPECTED ISOLATED NATURE WILL
LIKELY PRECLUDE A WATCH ISSUANCE.

..GUYER.. 05/05/2007

...PLEASE SEE WWW.SPC.NOAA.GOV FOR GRAPHIC PRODUCT...

ATTN...WFO...MRX...FFC...OHX...BMX...HUN...

36358728 34388520 34158498 33538473 33318534 34708669
35818761



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