[BNAWX] Severe Storm Outlook Narrative

[EMWIN Server]

ACUS11 KWNS 011254
SWOMCD
SPC MCD 011254
ALZ000-TNZ000-MSZ000-ARZ000-011400-

MESOSCALE DISCUSSION 0234
NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK
0654 AM CST THU MAR 01 2007

AREAS AFFECTED...ERN AR ACROSS NRN MS...WRN/MIDDLE TN...NRN AL

CONCERNING...SEVERE POTENTIAL...TORNADO WATCH LIKELY

VALID 011254Z - 011400Z

WIDESPREAD SEVERE WEATHER POTENTIAL TO INCLUDE POSSIBLE LONG-TRACK
TORNADOES WILL INCREASE ACROSS THE MS AND TN VALLEYS THROUGH THIS
MORNING. TORNADO WATCH COORDINATION ACROSS THESE AREAS WILL COMMENCE
SHORTLY.

POWERFUL LARGE SCALE MID/UPPER TROUGH CONTINUES TO MOVE EAST ACROSS
THE PLAINS THIS MORNING WITH PRONOUNCED DIFFLUENT FLOW OF OVER 100KT
FORECAST TO SPREAD EAST ATOP INCREASINGLY MOIST AND UNSTABLE WARM
SECTOR FROM THE NRN GULF COAST NWD ACROSS MS/AL...AND MUCH OF TN.
GIVEN SPEED OF THE UPPER SYSTEM AND WIDESPREAD NATURE OF THE
INTENSIFYING VERTICAL MOTION...A LARGE PDS WATCH MAY BE NEEDED.
STRENGTH OF LOW LEVEL SHEAR AND LOW LFC WILL SUPPORT THE POTENTIAL
FOR FAMILIES OF LONG-TRACK SUPERCELL STORMS. TORNADO
THREAT...CURRENTLY WELL ESTABLISHED OVER SRN MO...AR...AND LA...WILL
SHIFT STEADILY EWD ACROSS THE MS RIVER THROUGH THE MORNING.

..CARBIN.. 03/01/2007

...PLEASE SEE WWW.SPC.NOAA.GOV FOR GRAPHIC PRODUCT...

ATTN...WFO...MRX...OHX...BMX...HUN...MEG...JAN...LZK...

34839098 35429090 36188884 35488598 33478533 32648761
32789101

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