[BNAWX] Severe Storm Outlook Narrative

[EMWIN Server]

ACUS11 KWNS 281916
SWOMCD
SPC MCD 281916
VAZ000-NCZ000-WVZ000-SCZ000-TNZ000-GAZ000-282045-

MESOSCALE DISCUSSION 2045
NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK
0216 PM CDT THU SEP 28 2006

AREAS AFFECTED...SWRN VA

CONCERNING...SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WATCH 802...

VALID 281916Z - 282045Z

DEEPENING MID-LATITUDE TROUGH AND ASSOCIATED STRONG COLD FRONT
CONTINUE TO DEVELOP EAST ACROSS THE SRN/CNTRL APPALACHIANS THIS
AFTERNOON. LINEAR FORCING ALONG THE FRONT...FROM WRN NC INTO SWRN
VA...SHOULD CONTINUE TO SUPPORT A FAST-MOVING SQUALL LINE WITHIN
MARGINALLY UNSTABLE AIR MASS.

OVER THE PAST COUPLE OF HOURS...SEVERAL STORMS ALONG THE SQUALL LINE
HAVE SHOWN A TENDENCY TO BOW OUT. ADDITIONAL DISCRETE BUT ISOLATED
UPDRAFTS HAVE BEEN FORMING IN WARM SECTOR ENVIRONMENT FROM NRN GA
INTO WRN NC FOOTHILLS. FORCING WITH THE FRONT AND FAVORABLE LARGE
SCALE DYNAMICS SHOULD OFFSET WEAK INSTABILITY AND CONTINUE TO
SUPPORT SEVERE STORMS WITH HAIL AND HIGH WINDS MOVING ACROSS THE
REST OF WW 810 THROUGH EARLY EVENING.

..CARBIN.. 09/28/2006

...PLEASE SEE WWW.SPC.NOAA.GOV FOR GRAPHIC PRODUCT...

ATTN...WFO...AKQ...LWX...RAH...RNK...GSP...MRX...FFC...

35088509 37358084 37408071 37848024 37677976 37667822
36727880 35518100 35078187 34858362



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