[BNAWX] Severe Storm Outlook Narrative

[EMWIN Server]

ACUS11 KWNS 232250
SWOMCD
SPC MCD 232250
ALZ000-TNZ000-MSZ000-232345-

MESOSCALE DISCUSSION 2031
NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK
0550 PM CDT SAT SEP 23 2006

AREAS AFFECTED...NRN MS...NRN AL...EXTREME S CNTRL TN

CONCERNING...SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WATCH 800...

VALID 232250Z - 232345Z

LINE OF STORMS WILL CONTINUE EWD THROUGH MIDDLE TN AND NRN AL NEXT
FEW HOURS. ACTIVITY WILL POSE A THREAT FOR MAINLY ISOLATED DAMAGING
WIND GUSTS. SOME STORMS ARE BEGINNING TO MOVE E OF WW 800 INTO
EXTREME S CNTRL TN AND NRN AL. ANOTHER WW EAST OF WW 800 WILL
PROBABLY NOT BE NEEDED AT THIS TIME...BUT THIS AREA WILL CONTINUE TO
BE MONITORED.

A SQUALL LINE EXTENDS FROM ERN KY SWWD THROUGH MIDDLE TN...EXTREME
NWRN AL INTO NRN MS. NRN PORTION OF THIS LINE IS MOVING EWD AT 35 TO
40 KT WHILE THE SWRN PORTION OF THE LINE OVER NRN MS IS MOVING MUCH
MORE SLOWLY EWD. CONVERGENCE ALONG THE LEADING GUST FRONT WILL
MAINTAIN THE STORMS THROUGH ERN TN AND NRN AL NEXT FEW HOURS WHERE
THE ATMOSPHERE REMAINS WEAKLY CAPPED AND MODERATELY UNSTABLE BUT
WITH MODEST MID LEVEL LAPSE RATES. WITH THE EXCEPTION OF A SMALL
PART OF EXTREME S CNTRL TN AND NRN AL...MUCH OF THE STORMS WILL
REMAIN IN WW 800 FOR ANOTHER FEW HOURS. PRIMARY THREAT WILL CONTINUE
TO BE ISOLATED DAMAGING WIND GUSTS MAINLY THROUGH EARLY EVENING.
SEVERE THREAT IS EXPECTED TO BECOME INCREASINGLY MARGINAL  AFTER
SUNSET AS THE BOUNDARY LAYER BEGINS TO STABILIZE.

..DIAL.. 09/23/2006

...PLEASE SEE WWW.SPC.NOAA.GOV FOR GRAPHIC PRODUCT...

ATTN...WFO...OHX...BMX...HUN...MEG...JAN...

33689003 35148678 35048588 34438577 33388962

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