[BNAWX] Severe Storm Outlook Narrative

[EMWIN Server]

ACUS11 KWNS 151714
SWOMCD
SPC MCD 151714
TNZ000-KYZ000-ALZ000-151845-

MESOSCALE DISCUSSION 2211
NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK
1114 AM CST WED NOV 15 2006

AREAS AFFECTED...MIDDLE TN

CONCERNING...SEVERE POTENTIAL...WATCH UNLIKELY

VALID 151714Z - 151845Z

THE SEVERE THREAT MAY INCREASE ACROSS MIDDLE TN OVER THE NEXT FEW
HOURS. ISOLATED DAMAGING WINDS AND HAIL WOULD LIKELY BE THE PRIMARY
THREATS. THE SEVERE THREAT SHOULD REMAIN MARGINAL AND A WW IS NOT
ANTICIPATED THIS AFTERNOON.

LATEST SFC ANALYSIS SHOWS A WELL-DEVELOPED LOW IN NE AR WITH A WARM
FRONT EXTENDING ENEWD INTO WRN TN AND SRN KY. A BAND OF STRONG
THUNDERSTORMS IS CURRENTLY LOCATED NEAR THE TN RIVER IN WRN TN. A
GAP IN THE RAINFALL IS PRESENT ACROSS THE NASHVILLE AREA AND THIS
MAY ALLOW SFC TEMPS TO WARM SOMEWHAT THIS AFTERNOON. ALTHOUGH
INSTABILITY IS WEAK...THE WARMING SFC TEMPS MAY ALLOW INSTABILITY TO
INCREASE ENOUGH FOR A MARGINAL SEVERE THREAT. LATEST RADAR TRENDS
SHOW THE CONVECTIVE LINE BECOMING SLIGHTLY MORE ORGANIZED ACROSS THE
SCNTRL PART OF TN. IF THIS TREND CONTINUES...ISOLATED DAMAGING WIND
GUSTS AND HAIL WOULD BE POSSIBLE WITH THE STRONGER CELL ELEMENTS
EMBEDDED IN THE LINE ALONG THE INTERSTATE 65 CORRIDOR.

..BROYLES.. 11/15/2006

...PLEASE SEE WWW.SPC.NOAA.GOV FOR GRAPHIC PRODUCT...

ATTN...WFO...MRX...LMK...OHX...HUN...

35078581 34958675 35118728 35568757 36088741 36568691
36658629 36578578 36348542 35898534



This weather bulletin was brought to you by:
www.nashvilleweather.net