[BNAWX] Severe Local Storm Watch and Watch Cancellation MSG

EMWIN Server emwin at nashvilleweather.net
Wed Nov 15 04:31:25 CST 2006


WWUS20 KWNS 151030
SEL5
SPC WW 151030
ARZ000-MSZ000-TNZ000-151800-

URGENT - IMMEDIATE BROADCAST REQUESTED
TORNADO WATCH NUMBER 855
NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK
430 AM CST WED NOV 15 2006

THE NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER HAS ISSUED A
TORNADO WATCH FOR PORTIONS OF

       NORTHEAST ARKANSAS
       NORTHERN MISSISSIPPI
       WEST TENNESSEE

EFFECTIVE THIS WEDNESDAY MORNING FROM 430 AM UNTIL NOON CST.

TORNADOES...HAIL TO 1.5 INCHES IN DIAMETER...THUNDERSTORM WIND
GUSTS TO 70 MPH...AND DANGEROUS LIGHTNING ARE POSSIBLE IN THESE
AREAS.

THE TORNADO WATCH AREA IS APPROXIMATELY ALONG AND 85 STATUTE
MILES EAST AND WEST OF A LINE FROM 35 MILES NORTHEAST OF MEMPHIS
TENNESSEE TO 50 MILES SOUTH SOUTHWEST OF OXFORD MISSISSIPPI.  FOR
A COMPLETE DEPICTION OF THE WATCH SEE THE ASSOCIATED WATCH
OUTLINE UPDATE (WOUS64 KWNS WOU5).

REMEMBER...A TORNADO WATCH MEANS CONDITIONS ARE FAVORABLE FOR
TORNADOES AND SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS IN AND CLOSE TO THE WATCH
AREA. PERSONS IN THESE AREAS SHOULD BE ON THE LOOKOUT FOR
THREATENING WEATHER CONDITIONS AND LISTEN FOR LATER STATEMENTS
AND POSSIBLE WARNINGS.

OTHER WATCH INFORMATION...CONTINUE...WW 850...WW 851...WW
852...WW 853...WW 854...

DISCUSSION...TSTMS DEVELOPING ALONG EWD-MOVING OUTFLOW BOUNDARY FROM
EARLIER STORMS IN CNTRL AR EXPECTED TO BECOME INCREASINGLY
NEAR-SURFACE- BASED AS LOW LEVEL AIR MASS RECOVERY CONTINUES NWD
THROUGH THE MS DELTA REGION.  VERY STRONG DEEP SHEAR AND BACKED FLOW
INVOF OUTFLOW BOUNDARY AND SYNOPTIC WARM FRONT SEGMENT WILL POSE
RISK FOR LOW LEVEL STORM ROTATION IN ADDITION TO HIGH WIND/HAIL.
OTHER STORMS MAY MOVE INTO NRN MS FROM ERN AR AS AREA OF ASCENT IN
EXIT REGION OF INTENSE SRN PLNS JET MAX OVERSPREADS REGION.

AVIATION...TORNADOES AND A FEW SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS WITH HAIL
SURFACE AND ALOFT TO 1.5 INCHES. EXTREME TURBULENCE AND SURFACE
WIND GUSTS TO 60 KNOTS. A FEW CUMULONIMBI WITH MAXIMUM TOPS TO
450. MEAN STORM MOTION VECTOR 21035.


...CORFIDI
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