[BNAWX] Severe Storm Outlook Narrative

[EMWIN Server]

ACUS11 KWNS 262321
SWOMCD
SPC MCD 262321
NCZ000-VAZ000-SCZ000-GAZ000-TNZ000-ALZ000-270045-

MESOSCALE DISCUSSION 0992
NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK
0621 PM CDT FRI MAY 26 2006

AREAS AFFECTED...SRN VA...NC...SC...NRN GA

CONCERNING...SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WATCH 402...403...404...

VALID 262321Z - 270045Z

LATEST ANALYSIS DEPICTS COLD FRONT EAST OF THE APPALACHIANS WHILE
THERMAL/LEE-TROUGH AXIS REMAINS SITUATED ACROSS ERN NC SWWD TO ERN
SC. OUTFLOW FROM COASTAL CONVECTION HAS REINFORCED INLAND SEA BREEZE
PENETRATION ACROSS NERN NC BUT SEA BREEZE BOUNDARY REMAINS CLOSER TO
THE COAST ACROSS SRN SC/SERN GA. DESPITE DEEP CONVECTION ACROSS ERN
NC/NERN SC OVER THE PAST FEW HOURS...DIAGNOSTIC DATA CONTINUES TO
INDICATE ABUNDANT INSTABILITY REMAINS EAST OF THE LEE TROUGH...FROM
THE SC MIDLANDS NEWD TO SERN VA. IT IS POSSIBLE THAT ADDITIONAL
SEVERE STORMS COULD FORM ACROSS THESE AREAS AS COLD FRONT SPREADS
EAST LATER TONIGHT...AND MODEST SHEAR PERSISTS OVER THE REGION.

FARTHER SOUTHWEST...FROM SRN SC INTO GA...LATEST GUIDANCE SUGGESTS
THAT WEAKER LARGE SCALE FORCING ASSOCIATED WITH THE UPPER
TROUGH/FRONT MAY LIMIT TSTM DEVELOPMENT ACROSS THESE AREAS. WITH THE
EXCEPTION OF ONE SEVERE STORM OVER NRN POLK COUNTY GA...LACK OF
GREATER STORM COVERAGE...AND DIMINISHING POTENTIAL WITH EWD/SEWD
EXTENT...WOULD SUGGEST SWRN PORTIONS OF WW 402 MAY BE CLEARED WITHIN
THE NEXT HOUR.

..CARBIN.. 05/26/2006

...PLEASE SEE WWW.SPC.NOAA.GOV FOR GRAPHIC PRODUCT...

ATTN...WFO...AKQ...MHX...RAH...ILM...RNK...CHS...CAE...GSP...MRX...FFC...BMX...

31588133 33378271 33678536 35018545 34788396 37797964
37397910 37337861 37287592 35747510

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