[BNAWX] Severe Storm Outlook Narrative

[EMWIN Server]

ACUS11 KWNS 251608
SWOMCD
SPC MCD 251608
GAZ000-SCZ000-NCZ000-TNZ000-ALZ000-251745-

MESOSCALE DISCUSSION 0969
NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK
1108 AM CDT THU MAY 25 2006

AREAS AFFECTED...TN INTO NRN AL/NRN GA

CONCERNING...SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WATCH 392...

VALID 251608Z - 251745Z

CONTINUE WW 392...AREAS TO THE SOUTH/EAST ARE BEING MONITORED FOR
POSSIBILITY OF ADDITIONAL WWS.

TO THIS POINT...INTENSE CONVECTION HAS BEEN GENERALLY CONFINED TO
AREAS NEAR/SOUTH OF NASHVILLE...WITH PROPAGATION OCCURRING ALONG OLD
OUTFLOW BOUNDARY WHICH EXTENDS SOUTHEASTWARD TOWARD CHATTANOOGA
...AIDED BY 30 KT MEAN WESTERLY FLOW.  HOWEVER...AS REMAINING
INHIBITION FOR BOUNDARY LAYER BASED PARCELS IS ELIMINATED WITH
FURTHER HEATING NEXT COUPLE OF HOURS...AN EXPANDING CLUSTER OF
STORMS SEEMS LIKELY TO EVOLVE. THIS IS EXPECTED TO OCCUR AS
CONVECTIVELY GENERATED SURFACE COLD POOL STRENGTHENS TO THE SOUTH OF
NASHVILLE.  TENDENCY SHOULD BE FOR ASSOCIATED GUST FRONT TO ADVANCE
TOWARD THE CHATTANOOGA/HUNTSVILLE AREAS...ACCOMPANIED BY BROADENING
DAMAGING WIND POTENTIAL BY 18-19Z...IN ADDITION TO CONTINUING RISK
FOR LARGE HAIL IN ENVIRONMENT WITH CAPE ON THE ORDER OF 2000 J/KG.

..KERR.. 05/25/2006

...PLEASE SEE WWW.SPC.NOAA.GOV FOR GRAPHIC PRODUCT...

ATTN...WFO...GSP...MRX...FFC...OHX...BMX...HUN...MEG...

35948662 36118587 35788501 35528469 35268402 35168356
34448304 33938399 34268530 34508610 34728682 34788768
35128822 35808866 36338871 36068808 35848736

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