[BNAWX] Severe Storm Outlook Narrative

[EMWIN Server]

ACUS11 KWNS 200407
SWOMCD
SPC MCD 200407
NCZ000-TNZ000-VAZ000-GAZ000-KYZ000-200430-

MESOSCALE DISCUSSION 0902
NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK
1107 PM CDT FRI MAY 19 2006

AREAS AFFECTED...PARTS OF CENTRAL KY INTO MIDDLE-ERN TN AND FAR WRN
NC

CONCERNING...SEVERE THUNDERSTORM POTENTIAL

VALID 200407Z - 200430Z

WW WILL BE ISSUED SOON FOR SOUTH CENTRAL KY INTO PARTS OF MIDDLE/ERN
TN AND FAR WRN NC.

REGIONAL RADARS INDICATED RECENT INCREASE DURING LAST 30-40 MINUTES
IN THUNDERSTORMS ACROSS KY/TN. THIS ACTIVITY IS ELEVATED TO THE ENE
OF A WARM FRONT THAT EXTENDED FROM THE MID MS VALLEY ESEWD INTO
MIDDLE TN TO NEAR THE TN/GA BORDER.  40-55 KT WSWLY LLJ EXTENDING
INTO MIDDLE-ERN TN IS RESULTING IN STRONG LOW-LEVEL WAA AIDING IN
CURRENT AND EXPECTED OVERNIGHT THUNDERSTORM POTENTIAL ACROSS THE
DISCUSSION AREA.  AVAILABLE MUCAPE UP TO 1500 J/KG AND STRONG
EFFECTIVE DEEP LAYER SHEAR /40-60 KT/ WILL CONTINUE TO BE SUPPORTIVE
OF ELEVATED SUPERCELLS...WITH HAIL THE PRIMARY THREAT GIVEN STEEP
MID LEVEL LAPSE RATES AROUND 7.5 C/KM.

..PETERS.. 05/20/2006

...PLEASE SEE WWW.SPC.NOAA.GOV FOR GRAPHIC PRODUCT...

ATTN...WFO...GSP...MRX...JKL...FFC...LMK...OHX...HUN...PAH...

35008578 36398739 37438683 37558519 36648366 36158272
34958341

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