[BNAWX] Severe Storm Outlook Narrative

[EMWIN Server]

ACUS11 KWNS 091501
SWOMCD
SPC MCD 091500
TNZ000-KYZ000-MOZ000-ARZ000-091700-

MESOSCALE DISCUSSION 0805
NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK
1000 AM CDT TUE MAY 09 2006

AREAS AFFECTED...SE MO...NE AR...WRN TN

CONCERNING...SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WATCH 313...

VALID 091500Z - 091700Z

A CONVECTIVE LINE AND AN ASSOCIATED BOW ECHO WILL CONTINUE TO MOVE
ESEWD INTO NE AR AND WRN TN OVER THE NEXT FEW HOURS. A SEVERE THREAT
MAY CONTINUE WITH THE LINE WITH WIND DAMAGE AND ISOLATED LARGE HAIL
BEING THE MAIN THREATS. A NEW WW WILL BE ISSUED SHORTLY.

A WELL-DEVELOPED LINEAR MCS IS CURRENTLY MOVING INTO NE AR AND IS
JUST NORTH OF A STATIONARY FRONTAL BOUNDARY EXTENDING WNW TO ESE
FROM ERN OK ACROSS CNTRL AR INTO NRN MS. NORTH OF THE BOUNDARY...SFC
DEWPOINTS ARE IN THE LOWER TO MID 60S F AND THIS IS RESULTING IN
INSTABILITY SUFFICIENT TO FUEL THE CONVECTIVE LINE THROUGH THE EARLY
AFTERNOON.  THE MCS IS LOCATED IN THE NOSE OF A JET MAX NEAR 700 MB
AND THE ENHANCED SHEAR IS SUPPORTING THE SEVERE POTENTIAL WITH THE
CONVECTIVE LINE. AS LOW-LEVEL LAPSE RATES STEEPEN LATE THIS MORNING
AND INSTABILITY CONTINUES TO INCREASE...THE LINE MAY REINTENSIFY
ACROSS FAR NE AR AND WRN TN. WIND DAMAGE AND ISOLATED LARGE HAIL
WOULD BE LIKELY WITH THE STRONGER CELLS EMBEDDED IN THE LINE.

..BROYLES.. 05/09/2006

...PLEASE SEE WWW.SPC.NOAA.GOV FOR GRAPHIC PRODUCT...

ATTN...WFO...PAH...MEG...LZK...SGF...

35119006 35429126 36029164 36719128 36928992 36448875
35498870



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