[BNAWX] Severe Storm Outlook Narrative

[EMWIN Server]

ACUS11 KWNS 032106
SWOMCD
SPC MCD 032106
TNZ000-ALZ000-KYZ000-INZ000-ILZ000-MSZ000-MOZ000-ARZ000-032200-

MESOSCALE DISCUSSION 0744
NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK
0406 PM CDT WED MAY 03 2006

AREAS AFFECTED...SRN MO/MUCH OF AR/SRN IL/WRN KY/WRN-MIDDLE TN/NRN
MS

CONCERNING...SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WATCH 282...283...

VALID 032106Z - 032200Z

PARAMETERS REMAIN FAVORABLE FOR ADDITIONAL STRONG TO SEVERE STORMS
ACROSS WW/S 282/283.

20Z MESO-ANALYSIS SHOWED A WARM FRONT CONTINUING TO EXTEND FROM SERN
MO SEWD THROUGH WRN-MIDDLE TN TO NWRN/WRN GA.  A CONVECTIVE OUTFLOW
BOUNDARY EXTENDED GENERALLY WWD FROM SRN IL ACROSS SRN MO...WHILE A
SECOND BOUNDARY EXTENDED SSWWD FROM SERN MO THROUGH ERN TO SRN AR.
LARGE SCALE ASCENT ASSOCIATED WITH SRN MCV...CURRENTLY CENTERED OVER
NRN AR /VICINITY BVX/ AND MOVING SLOWLY EWD...WILL CONTINUE TO AID
IN ADDITIONAL STRONG TO SEVERE STORMS ALONG AFOREMENTIONED SURFACE
BOUNDARIES.  GREATEST CONCENTRATION OF STORMS SHOULD REMAIN
INITIALLY FROM SERN MO/NERN AR INTO FAR SRN IL/WRN KY/WRN TN WHERE
INSTABILITY IS THE STRONGEST /MLCAPE 1500-2500 J/KG/.

DESPITE WEAKER DEEP LAYER SHEAR SWD ACROSS ERN-SRN AR...STEEP LAPSE
RATES...MLCAPE UP TO 1500 J/KG AND ASCENT WITH MCV EXPECTED TO AID
IN ADDITIONAL SEVERE STORMS.

..PETERS.. 05/03/2006

...PLEASE SEE WWW.SPC.NOAA.GOV FOR GRAPHIC PRODUCT...

ATTN...WFO...LMK...OHX...HUN...PAH...MEG...JAN...LSX...LZK...SGF...SHV...EAX...TSA...

33089392 34579382 35269291 35909350 36489461 38209454
38498778 36798787 36608659 35028659 33779007 33029224

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