[BNAWX] Severe Storm Outlook Narrative

[EMWIN Server]

ACUS11 KWNS 022131
SWOMCD
SPC MCD 022130
TNZ000-GAZ000-ALZ000-KYZ000-MSZ000-022300-

MESOSCALE DISCUSSION 0724
NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK
0430 PM CDT TUE MAY 02 2006

AREAS AFFECTED...WESTERN/MIDDLE TN INTO NORTHERN MS/NORTHERN AL/FAR
NORTHWEST GA

CONCERNING...SEVERE THUNDERSTORM POTENTIAL

VALID 022130Z - 022300Z

SEVERE THREAT MAY INCREASE OVER THE NEXT SEVERAL HOURS ACROSS MUCH
OF TN INTO FAR NORTHERN MS/NORTHERN AL AND PERHAPS NORTHWEST GA.
ALTHOUGH NOT CURRENTLY ANTICIPATED...WILL CONTINUE TO MONITOR FOR A
POSSIBLE WATCH.

AIRMASS CONTINUES TO RECOVER/DESTABILIZE IN WAKE OF MORNING
THUNDERSTORMS ACROSS MUCH OF THE TN VALLEY. ALONG AHEAD OF SYNOPTIC
COLD FRONT AND NEAR REMNANT OUTFLOW BOUNDARIES...AMPLE INSOLATION
HAS ALLOWED THE RECOVERING WARM SECTOR TO BECOME MARGINALLY TO
MODERATELY UNSTABLE FROM NORTHERN MS/NORTHERN AL INTO MIDDLE TN. CU
FIELD HAS BECOME MORE AGGRESSIVE RECENTLY INVOF THE COLD FRONT ALONG
THE TN/KY BORDER SOUTH OF PADUCAH KY...WITH ADDITIONAL ISOLATED
DEVELOPMENT IN EXTREME NORTHERN AL INVOF REMNANT OUTFLOW BOUNDARY/S.
HOWEVER...MODEST VERTICAL SHEAR AND QUESTIONS REGARDING THE AREAL
EXTENT OF DEVELOPMENT /PER DEVELOPING SHORTWAVE RIDGING AND MODEST
MASS CONVERGENCE/ SUGGESTS NECESSITY FOR A WATCH MAY REMAIN LOW.

..GUYER.. 05/02/2006

...PLEASE SEE WWW.SPC.NOAA.GOV FOR GRAPHIC PRODUCT...

ATTN...WFO...MRX...FFC...OHX...BMX...HUN...PAH...MEG...

36388930 36758783 36158509 35598456 34268489 34548881
34968943 35818951

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