[BNAWX] Severe Storm Outlook Narrative

[EMWIN Server]

ACUS11 KWNS 241815
SWOMCD
SPC MCD 241815
GAZ000-ALZ000-TNZ000-MSZ000-ARZ000-241945-

MESOSCALE DISCUSSION 1336
NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK
0115 PM CDT SAT JUN 24 2006

AREAS AFFECTED...NE AR...NRN MS...WRN TN...NRN AL AND NW GA

CONCERNING...SEVERE THUNDERSTORM POTENTIAL

VALID 241815Z - 241945Z

A MARGINAL SEVERE THREAT WILL LIKELY INCREASE THIS AFTERNOON ACROSS
THE TN AND MID-MS VALLEY. STRONG WIND GUSTS AND HAIL WILL BE
POSSIBLE WITH THE STRONGER MULTICELL STORMS OVER THE NEXT FEW HOURS.


LATEST ANALYSIS SHOWS A QUASI-STATIONARY FRONTAL BOUNDARY EXTENDING
ENEWD FROM SRN AR INTO ERN TN. SFC DEWPOINTS ARE IN THE LOWER 70S F
AND POCKETS OF MODERATE INSTABILITY ARE PRESENT ALONG THE BOUNDARY.
AS INSTABILITY INCREASES THIS AFTERNOON AND AN UPPER-TROUGH MOVES
EWD ACROSS THE REGION...SCATTERED THUNDERSTORMS WILL EXPAND IN
COVERAGE THROUGH LATE AFTERNOON. THE WSR-88D VWP IN MEMPHIS
CURRENTLY SHOWS 0-6 KM SHEAR OF AROUND 20 KT SUGGESTING MARGINALLY
SEVERE MULTICELL STORMS WILL BE POSSIBLE. STEEP LOW-LEVEL LAPSE
RATES SHOULD EXCEED 8.5 C/KM BY MID-AFTERNOON WHICH WILL BE
FAVORABLE FOR STRONG WIND GUSTS WITH THE STRONGER MULTICELL STORMS.
HAIL WILL ALSO BE POSSIBLE ESPECIALLY AS INSTABILITY INCREASES OVER
THE NEXT FEW HOURS.

..BROYLES.. 06/24/2006

...PLEASE SEE WWW.SPC.NOAA.GOV FOR GRAPHIC PRODUCT...

ATTN...WFO...FFC...OHX...BMX...HUN...MEG...JAN...LZK...

33939017 34869188 36099110 35378895 34818695 34238428
33148396 32778489 33138721 33408860

This weather bulletin was brought to you by:
www.nashvilleweather.net