[BNAWX] Severe Storm Outlook Narrative

[EMWIN Server]

ACUS11 KWNS 101820
SWOMCD
SPC MCD 101820
VAZ000-TNZ000-NCZ000-KYZ000-INZ000-ILZ000-102015-

MESOSCALE DISCUSSION 1125
NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK
0120 PM CDT SAT JUN 10 2006

AREAS AFFECTED...SRN IL/FAR SWRN IN...PORTIONS OF KY...NERN TN AND
FAR SWRN VA

CONCERNING...SEVERE THUNDERSTORM POTENTIAL

VALID 101820Z - 102015Z

ISOLATED SVR THUNDERSTORMS MAY DEVELOP ALONG A STATIONARY BOUNDARY
EXTENDING FROM WCENTRAL KY SEWD INTO FAR SWRN VA/NERN TN OVER THE
NEXT 1-2 HRS. ADDITIONAL ISOLATED SVR TSTMS MAY DEVELOP OVER FAR SRN
IL AND SWRN IND. SVR THREAT MAY BECOME ORGANIZED ENOUGH THAT A WW
MAY BE NEEDED BY 20Z.

LATEST VISIBLE SATELLITE IMAGERY SHOWS MODEST CONVERGENCE ALONG
STATIONARY BOUNDARY EXTENDING FROM NEAR MWN TO OWB ESEWD TO 60 W OF
LOZ TO TRI. AIRMASS ALONG THIS BOUNDARY HAS BECOME MODERATELY
UNSTABLE...WITH AXIS OF MID-UPPER 60S DWPTS SUPPORTING MLCAPES FROM
1500-2000 J/KG. WITH MODERATE NWLY MID LEVEL FLOW OF 25-30 KTS...AND
WEAK ESELY LOW LEVEL FLOW ON THE NORTH SIDE OF THE
BOUNDARY...SUFFICIENT DIRECTIONAL SHEAR WILL BE IN PLACE FOR SOME
UPDRAFT ROTATION AND LARGE HAIL/DMGG WIND POTENTIAL GIVEN THE
AFOREMENTIONED INSTABILITY. STORM MOTIONS SHOULD BE SEWD PARALLEL TO
THE BOUNDARY...AND THUS SVR THREAT IS ANTICIPATED TO BE FAIRLY
CONFINED EITHER SIDE OF THE BOUNDARY AXIS.

..CROSBIE.. 06/10/2006

...PLEASE SEE WWW.SPC.NOAA.GOV FOR GRAPHIC PRODUCT...

ATTN...WFO...GSP...MRX...JKL...LMK...OHX...PAH...LSX...

38188695 38568862 38548955 38138969 37468874 36798675
36368517 35888349 35928261 36368214 36768229 37658501

This weather bulletin was brought to you by:
www.nashvilleweather.net