[BNAWX] Severe Storm Outlook Narrative

[EMWIN Server]

ACUS11 KWNS 302226
SWOMCD
SPC MCD 302225
INZ000-KYZ000-ILZ000-TNZ000-MOZ000-ARZ000-010000-

MESOSCALE DISCUSSION 0705
NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK
0525 PM CDT SUN APR 30 2006

AREAS AFFECTED...ERN MO...CNTRL/SRN IL...EXTREME WCNTRL IND...FAR W
KY...EXTREME NERN AR AND EXTREME NWRN TN

CONCERNING...SEVERE THUNDERSTORM POTENTIAL

VALID 302225Z - 010000Z

NRN END OF THE LINEAR MCS ACROSS CNTRL IL APPEARS TO BE WEAKENING
LATE THIS AFTN AS STORMS MOVE ATOP THE MORE STABLE ENVIRONMENT
LOCATED ACROSS ERN IL AND WRN IND.  NO WW IS ANTICIPATED FARTHER
EAST INTO IND.

STRONGER TSTMS HAVE BEEN FAVORING THE LWR OH VLY REGION FROM SERN MO
INTO THE SRN TIP OF IL.  DISCRETE CELLS HAVE EVOLVED INTO LINE
SEGMENTS AS THE ENTIRE LINE OF STORMS HAS BECOME LARGELY PARALLEL
WITH THE 2-6KM SHEAR.  BUT...EMBEDDED SUPERCELLS WILL CONTINUE TO BE
A THREAT WITH LARGE HAIL.  AS THESE STORMS CONTINUE EWD INTO THE LWR
OH VLY...THE EFFECTIVE SRH IN EXCESS OF 200 M2/S2 WILL BE FAVORABLE
FOR TORNADOES...PARTICULARLY IN THE REGION JUST WEST THROUGH N OF
KPAH.

FINALLY...FARTHER WEST...WHERE THE BOUNDARY LAYER HAS
DEEPENED/WARMED...SMALL TSTMS WILL CONTINUE TO BE A THREAT GIVEN
STEEP MID-LEVEL LAPSE RATES.  HAIL AND GUSTY WINDS COULD ACCOMPANY
THE STRONGER STORMS ACROSS ERN MO.

..RACY.. 04/30/2006

...PLEASE SEE WWW.SPC.NOAA.GOV FOR GRAPHIC PRODUCT...

ATTN...WFO...IND...PAH...ILX...MEG...LSX...DVN...LZK...

35509120 37459092 40259170 40258733 39028721 35418914

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