[BNAWX] Severe Storm Outlook Narrative
EMWIN Server
emwin at nashvilleweather.net
Thu Apr 20 20:00:05 CDT 2006
ACUS11 KWNS 210055
SWOMCD
SPC MCD 210055
GAZ000-SCZ000-NCZ000-TNZ000-ALZ000-210300-
MESOSCALE DISCUSSION 0592
NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK
0755 PM CDT THU APR 20 2006
AREAS AFFECTED...NRN GA
CONCERNING...SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WATCH 225...
VALID 210055Z - 210300Z
SVR THREAT SHOULD NOT EXTEND MUCH EAST OF WW 225 ACROSS NERN GA AND
THUS A NEW WW IS NOT EXPECTED. SVR WIND/HAIL THREAT WILL BE MAINLY
CONFINED OVER ERN/SRN PORTIONS OF WW 225 FOR THE NEXT 1-2 HRS.
HOWEVER ELEVATED TSTMS WITH MARGINALLY SVR HAIL MAY OCCUR WEST OF
THIS CONVECTIVE LINE OVER NWRN GA.
RADAR IMAGERY SHOWS A WELL DEFINED CONVECTIVE LINE MOVING THROUGH
NRN GA /INCLUDING THE ATL METRO AREA/. STEEP LOW LEVEL LAPSE RATES
WILL SUPPORT THE THREAT FOR DMGG WINDS WITH THIS LINE FOR THE NEXT
1-2 HRS AS IT MOVES THROUGH THE REMAINDER OF WW 225. THERE MAY BE A
MARGINAL SVR THREAT JUST EAST OF WW 225...BUT AREAL EXTENT OF MODEST
INSTABILITY SHOULD BE LIMITED TO ONLY A 1-2 ROWS OF COUNTIES EAST OF
WW 225 AS STABLE AIR REMAINS OVER NERN/ECENTRAL GA SUPPORTED BY ELY
LOW LEVEL FLOW.
FURTHER WEST...ALTHOUGH AIRMASS IS WORKED OVER ACROSS NWRN GA BEHIND
THE CONVECTIVE LINE...INCREASING LOW LEVEL SSWLY WINDS ATOP
MESO-HIGH OVER NWRN GA MAY SUPPORT A MARGINAL HAIL THREAT FOR THE
NEXT FEW HRS WITH ANY ADDITIONAL NEW TSTM DEVELOPMENT. THIS AREA MAY
BE CLEARED FROM WW 225 BY 02Z IF NEW TSTM INITIATION FAILS TO OCCUR
BEFORE THEN.
..CROSBIE.. 04/21/2006
...PLEASE SEE WWW.SPC.NOAA.GOV FOR GRAPHIC PRODUCT...
ATTN...WFO...GSP...MRX...FFC...BMX...HUN...
34998531 33028612 33038414 33138323 34988316
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