[BNAWX] Severe Storm Outlook Narrative

[EMWIN Server]

ACUS11 KWNS 282017
SWOMCD
SPC MCD 282017
KYZ000-TNZ000-INZ000-ALZ000-282145-

MESOSCALE DISCUSSION 2500
NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK
0217 PM CST MON NOV 28 2005

AREAS AFFECTED...MIDDLE TN/CNTRL KY/EXTREME SE INDIANA INTO ERN
KY/ERN TN

CONCERNING...TORNADO WATCH 885...

VALID 282017Z - 282145Z

VALID PORTION OF TORNADO WATCH 885 CONTINUES UNTIL 00Z ALONG/AHEAD
OF CONVECTIVE LINE MOVING EWD ACROSS CNTRL KY/MIDDLE TN...WITH AN
ISOLD THREAT FOR DAMAGING WIND GUSTS AND A TORNADO OR TWO
CONTINUING. WILL MONITOR TRENDS FOR NECESSITY OF ADDITIONAL WATCH
ISSUANCE INTO ERN TN/ERN KY.

RUC DIAGNOSTICS/WSR-88D VADS CONTINUE TO DEPICT RATHER STRONG
AMBIENT WIND FIELD IN PLACE ALONG/AHEAD OF CONVECTIVE LINE ADVANCING
ACROSS CNTRL KY/MIDDLE TN...WITH 0-1 KM SRH VALUES OF 400-600 M2/S2.
HOWEVER GIVEN CURRENT RADAR CHARACTER OF CONVECTIVE LINE AND WEAK
INSTABILITY DOWNSTREAM /REF 18Z BNA RAOB/...SEVERE THREAT WOULD
LIKELY DECREASE/REMAIN MARGINAL WITH EWD TRANSITION TOWARD ERN
KY/ERN TN. ALTHOUGH NOT CURRENTLY ANTICIPATED...WILL CONTINUE TO
CONVECTIVE TRENDS OF THE NEXT FEW HOURS FOR POSSIBILITY OF
ADDITIONAL WATCH ISSUANCE INTO ERN KY/ERN TN.

..GUYER.. 11/28/2005

...PLEASE SEE WWW.SPC.NOAA.GOV FOR GRAPHIC PRODUCT...

ATTN...WFO...RLX...MRX...JKL...ILN...LMK...OHX...HUN...

38678541 38758466 38408331 36688366 35658424 35168498
34978596 35078662 35708658 36638648

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