[BNAWX] Public Severe Weather Alert

[EMWIN Server]

WOUS40 KWNS 151652
PWOSPC
ARZ000-ILZ000-INZ000-KYZ000-MOZ000-MSZ000-OHZ000-TNZ000-160045-

PUBLIC SEVERE WEATHER OUTLOOK
NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK
1052 AM CST TUE NOV 15 2005

VALID 151652Z - 160045Z

...OUTBREAK OF SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS EXPECTED OVER PARTS OF THE
OHIO...TENNESSEE AND LOWER MISSISSIPPI VALLEYS LATER TODAY AND
TONIGHT.

THE NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER IN NORMAN OK IS FORECASTING THE
DEVELOPMENT OF A FEW STRONG...LONG-TRACK TORNADOES OVER PARTS OF THE
OHIO...TENNESSEE AND LOWER MISSISSIPPI VALLEYS LATER TODAY AND
TONIGHT.

THE AREAS MOST LIKELY TO EXPERIENCE THIS ACTIVITY INCLUDE

       CENTRAL AND EASTERN ARKANSAS
       SOUTHERN AND EASTERN ILLINOIS
       MUCH OF INDIANA
       WESTERN AND CENTRAL KENTUCKY
       SOUTHEAST MISSOURI
       NORTHERN AND CENTRAL MISSISSIPPI
       WESTERN OHIO
       WESTERN AND MIDDLE TENNESSEE

SURROUNDING THE HIGH RISK AREA...THERE IS A MODERATE RISK OF SEVERE
THUNDERSTORMS FROM SOUTHERN LOWER MICHIGAN INTO LOUISIANA...SOUTHERN
MISSISSIPPI AND WESTERN ALABAMA

A WIDESPREAD AREA OF SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS...INCLUDING SOME WITH
LONG-TRACK TORNADOES AND VERY DAMAGING WIND...WILL AFFECT A LARGE
PART OF THE EAST CENTRAL U.S. LATER TODAY THROUGH WEDNESDAY MORNING.


A STRENGTHENING LOW PRESSURE AREA NOW NEARING ST LOUIS, MISSOURI
WILL TRACK NORTHEAST TO NEAR CHICAGO LATER TODAY BEFORE CONTINUING
INTO MICHIGAN TONIGHT/EARLY WEDNESDAY.

UNSEASONABLY WARM AND HUMID AIR SURGING NORTH AHEAD OF THE LOW...IN
CONJUNCTION WITH 100 MPH JET STREAM WINDS IN THE MIDDLE
TROPOSPHERE...WILL CREATE A VERY FAVORABLE ENVIRONMENT FOR SUSTAINED
ROTATING THUNDERSTORMS IN THE HIGH RISK AREA.

STORMS SHOULD FORM BEGINNING AROUND MIDDAY OVER PARTS OF
ARKANSAS...MISSOURI AND ILLINOIS.  OTHER STORMS WILL QUICKLY FOLLOW
OVER PARTS OF ILLINOIS...INDIANA...KENTUCKY AND TENNESSEE.

THE SEVERE STORMS WILL MOVE AND DEVELOP VERY RAPIDLY
NORTHEASTWARD...POSING A THREAT FOR TORNADOES...DAMAGING WINDS AND
HAIL THROUGH TONIGHT AND EARLY WEDNESDAY INTO PARTS OF
MICHIGAN...OHIO...WESTERN PENNSYLVANIA...FAR WESTERN NEW YORK AND
WEST VIRGINIA. MORE ISOLATED SEVERE WEATHER MAY OCCUR THIS
AFTERNOON AND EVENING OVER THE WESTERN AND CENTRAL GULF COAST
REGION.

THIS IS POTENTIALLY A VERY DANGEROUS SITUATION. THOSE IN THE
THREATENED AREA ARE URGED TO REVIEW SEVERE WEATHER SAFETY RULES AND
TO LISTEN TO RADIO...TELEVISION...AND NOAA WEATHER RADIO FOR
POSSIBLE WATCHES...WARNINGS...AND STATEMENTS LATER TODAY.

..CORFIDI.. 11/15/2005
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