[BNAWX] Severe Storm Outlook Narrative

[EMWIN Server]

ACUS11 KWNS 030603
SWOMCD
SPC MCD 030603
VAZ000-WVZ000-NCZ000-TNZ000-031200-

MESOSCALE DISCUSSION 0143
NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK
1203 AM CST THU FEB 03 2005

AREAS AFFECTED...WV...WRN VA...EXTREME WRN NC...EXTREME ERN TN

CONCERNING...WINTER MIXED PRECIPITATION

VALID 030603Z - 031200Z

WINTER PRECIPITATION WILL OVERSPREAD THE THREAT AREA OVER THE NEXT 6
HOURS. MODERATE SNOWFALL WITH LOCALIZED RATES APPROACHING ONE INCH
PER HOUR IS EXPECTED LATE IN THE PERIOD OVER THE NORTHERN HALF OF
THE AREA WITH FREEZING RAIN MORE LIKELY IN THE SOUTH.

STRONG UPPER LEVEL SHORTWAVE CURRENTLY LOCATED OVER WRN KY IN RUC
ANALYSIS IS CONFIRMED IN WV IMAGERY.  DEEP ASCENT ASSOCIATED WITH
CVA AND CONTINUED 700MB WARM TEMPERATURE ADVECTION WILL TRAVERSE THE
AREA FROM WEST TO EAST.  THE BEST CHANCE FOR MODERATE SNOWFALL WILL
BE BETWEEN 09Z AND 12Z AS DEEP ASCENT IS MAXIMIZED.

MOISTURE WITH PW ABOVE ONE HALF INCH IS BEING TRANSPORTED NORTHWARD
ON 35KT WINDS EVIDENT GSP VWP WITH NICE WARM TEMPERATURE ADVECTION
VEERING PROFILE NEAR THE NOSE OF LLJ IN RLX VWP.  COLDER
TEMPERATURES WITHIN HIGHER TERRAIN WILL MAINTAIN FREEZING RAIN
THREAT IN THE SOUTHERN HALF OF THE AREA.

..SCHNEIDER.. 02/03/2005

...PLEASE SEE WWW.SPC.NOAA.GOV FOR GRAPHIC PRODUCT...

...NOTICE...
SPC WINTER WEATHER MESOSCALE DISCUSSIONS WILL BE ISSUED ON A
SCHEDULED BASIS...FOUR TIMES A DAY...BETWEEN 00-01 UTC...
06-07 UTC...12-13 UTC...AND 18-19 UTC AS SIGNIFICANT SHORT
RANGE WINTER WEATHER EVENTS UNFOLD.  THIS SCHEDULE WILL BE
USED FROM DECEMBER 1 THROUGH FEBRUARY 28.

ATTN...WFO...LWX...RNK...PBZ...RLX...GSP...MRX...

39098062 39348003 39097935 38207919 37158019 36258139
35418258 35758280 36248232 36908156 38008119 38588099

WWWW
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