[BNAWX] Severe Storm Outlook Narrative

[EMWIN Server]

ACUS11 KWNS 281721
SWOMCD
SPC MCD 281721
KYZ000-VAZ000-TNZ000-NCZ000-GAZ000-ALZ000-281915-

MESOSCALE DISCUSSION 2595
NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK
1121 AM CST WED DEC 28 2005

AREAS AFFECTED...NRN AL/MIDDLE AND ERN TN/CENTRAL AND ERN KY

CONCERNING...SEVERE THUNDERSTORM POTENTIAL

VALID 281721Z - 281915Z

THREAT FOR HAIL/LOCALLY DAMAGING WINDS WILL LIKELY INCREASE OVER THE
NEXT 1 TO 2 HOURS WITH STRENGTHENING STORMS.  PARTS OF THIS AREA
WILL BE MONITORED FOR POSSIBLE WW.

AIRMASS CONTINUES TO DESTABILIZE AHEAD OF COLD FRONT...AS COOLING
ALOFT ASSOCIATED WITH UPPER LOW CONTINUES TO OVERSPREAD
WARMING/MOISTENING BOUNDARY LAYER.  CONVECTION IS INCREASING IN
INTENSITY ATTM OVER CENTRAL KY...WITH NEW CONVECTIVE DEVELOPMENT
OCCURRING SWWD ACROSS MIDDLE TN AND INTO NRN AL.  EXPECT THIS TREND
TO CONTINUE AS FURTHER AIRMASS DESTABILIZATION OCCURS THROUGH THE
AFTERNOON.

THOUGH NOT AS STRONG AS FURTHER S...DEEP-LAYER SHEAR ACROSS THIS
REGION IS SUFFICIENT TO SUPPORT ORGANIZED/WEAKLY-ROTATING UPDRAFTS.
THIS COMBINED WITH SLOW INCREASE IN AVAILABLE INSTABILITY SUGGESTS
THAT STORMS WILL BECOME CAPABLE OF PRODUCING  MARGINALLY-SEVERE
HAIL/WIND GUSTS OVER THE NEXT COUPLE OF HOURS.

..GOSS.. 12/28/2005

...PLEASE SEE WWW.SPC.NOAA.GOV FOR GRAPHIC PRODUCT...

ATTN...WFO...MRX...JKL...FFC...LMK...OHX...BMX...HUN...

37888507 38018400 37458304 34898443 33348728 35388627
36558592

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