[BNAWX] Severe Storm Outlook Narrative

[EMWIN Server]

ACUS11 KWNS 150210
SWOMCD
SPC MCD 150210
KYZ000-INZ000-TNZ000-ILZ000-150315-

MESOSCALE DISCUSSION 1986
NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK
0910 PM CDT SUN AUG 14 2005

AREAS AFFECTED...WRN KY/SERN IL AND SWRN IND

CONCERNING...SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WATCH 722...

VALID 150210Z - 150315Z

ONGOING TSTMS ARE EXPECTED TO WEAKEN OVER THE NEXT 1 TO 2 HOURS AND
WW 722 WILL BE ALLOWED TO EXPIRE AT 03Z.

TRENDS IN LOCAL RADAR IMAGERY INDICATE THAT PERSISTENT BOWING
STRUCTURE HAS FRACTURED AND WEAKENED OVER THE PAST HALF HOUR WITH
LEADING EDGE OF GUST FRONT OUTRUNNING SRN PORTION OF CONVECTIVE LINE
BY 10-15 MILES. PERSISTENT CONVECTION WITHIN IMMEDIATE DOWNSTREAM
AIR MASS FROM VICINITY OF BWG NWD TO THE OH RIVER HAS EFFECTIVELY
STABILIZED INFLOW INTO DECAYING BOW STRUCTURE WHICH SHOULD LEAD TO
FURTHER WEAKENING. WHILE POTENTIAL FOR ISOLATED DAMAGING WIND GUSTS
WILL PERSIST THROUGH 03 OR 04Z...IT APPEARS THAT THE THREAT OF MORE
ORGANIZED SEVERE STORMS IS DIMINISHING AND WW 722 WILL BE ALLOWED TO
EXPIRE WITHIN THE HOUR.

..MEAD.. 08/15/2005

...PLEASE SEE WWW.SPC.NOAA.GOV FOR GRAPHIC PRODUCT...

ATTN...WFO...LMK...OHX...IND...PAH...ILX...MEG...

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