[BNAWX] Severe Storm Outlook Narrative

[EMWIN Server]

ACUS11 KWNS 212222
SWOMCD
SPC MCD 212222
KYZ000-INZ000-ILZ000-TNZ000-MOZ000-ARZ000-212315-

MESOSCALE DISCUSSION 0635
NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK
0522 PM CDT THU APR 21 2005

AREAS AFFECTED...SERN MO...EXTREME NERN AR...FAR S IL...WRN KY AND
NWRN TN

CONCERNING...SEVERE THUNDERSTORM POTENTIAL

VALID 212222Z - 212315Z

A WW WBIS SHORTLY AS STORMS CONTINUE DEVELOPING WITH RISKS FOR LARGE
HAIL AND DAMAGING WINDS.

TSTMS HAVE BEEN DEVELOPING RAPIDLY ACROSS SERN MO/NCNTRL AR WITHIN A
VERY UNSTABLE WARM SECTOR CHARACTERIZED BY MLCAPE OF 1500-2000 J/KG.
 STORMS APPEAR TO BE DEVELOPING VCNTY WARM FRONT/OLD OUTFLOW
BOUNDARY SITUATED NW-SE ACROSS SERN MO INTO WRN KY.  THE VERTICAL
SHEAR IS A LITTLE ON THE WEAK SIDE...LESS THAN 25 KTS...BUT LAPSE
RATES ARE STEEP ENOUGH THAT LARGE HAIL WILL BE A CONCERN.
MOREOVER...DEW POINT DEPRESSIONS OF 15-20F MAY ENCOURAGE A FEW
DAMAGING DOWNDRAFTS.  AS SUCH...A WW WBIS SHORTLY FOR PARTS OF THE
AREA.

..RACY.. 04/21/2005

...PLEASE SEE WWW.SPC.NOAA.GOV FOR GRAPHIC PRODUCT...

ATTN...WFO...PAH...MEG...LSX...LZK...SGF...

37599110 37758887 37798787 37208780 36128902 36078956
35989073 35979159

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