[BNAWX] Severe Storm Outlook Narrative

[EMWIN Server]

ACUS11 KWNS 060442
SWOMCD
SPC MCD 060441
TNZ000-ARZ000-MSZ000-MOZ000-060515-

MESOSCALE DISCUSSION 0497
NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK
1141 PM CDT TUE APR 05 2005

AREAS AFFECTED...ERN AR

CONCERNING...SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WATCH 128...

VALID 060441Z - 060515Z

CONTINUE REMAINING VALID PORTION OF WW.  NEW WW TO THE EAST IS NOT
CURRENTLY ANTICIPATED.

STRONGER FORCING FOR UPWARD VERTICAL MOTION EAST OF DIGGING CLOSED
LOW APPEARS LIKELY TO BECOME REFOCUSED FARTHER TO THE SOUTH
OVERNIGHT...ACROSS PARTS OF THE CENTRAL GULF COAST/LOWER MISSISSIPPI
VALLEY REGION. SUBSTANTIAL WEAKENING TRENDS ARE ALREADY EVIDENT IN
ONGOING CONVECTION ACROSS CENTRAL ARKANSAS.  AS FORCING SUPPORTING
THIS ACTIVITY WEAKENS/DEVELOPS NORTHEASTWARD INTO DRIER/MORE STABLE
LOW-LEVEL ENVIRONMENT...SEVERE THREAT IS EXPECTED TO CONTINUE TO
DIMINISH.

..KERR.. 04/06/2005

...PLEASE SEE WWW.SPC.NOAA.GOV FOR GRAPHIC PRODUCT...

ATTN...WFO...PAH...MEG...JAN...LZK...SGF...

36079264 36439227 36539079 35999002 35308998 34209073
33689175 33539262 33939317 34969271

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