[BNAWX] Severe Storm Outlook Narrative

[bnawx at nashvilleweather.net]

ACUS11 KWNS 121854
SWOMCD
SPC MCD 121854
VAZ000-KYZ000-TNZ000-122100-

MESOSCALE DISCUSSION 1220
NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK
0154 PM CDT SAT JUN 12 2004

AREAS AFFECTED...CENTRAL/ERN KY

CONCERNING...SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WATCH 445...

VALID 121854Z - 122100Z

CONTINUE WW.

AT 1830Z...CONVECTION ACROSS CENTRAL AND ERN KY HAS ORGANIZED INTO
TWO PRIMARY BANDS. LEADING LINE EXTENDS FROM 50N JKL SSWWD TO THE TN
BORDER ROUGHLY 50N CSV. AN MCV WAS NOTED IN MOSAIC RADAR IMAGERY AT
THE NRN END OF THE LINE MOVING INTO SWRN OH. AN
ADDITIONAL...STRONGER BAND EXTENDED FROM 25E SDF SSWWD TO BWG BEFORE
ARCING WSWWD INTO THE MO BOOTHEEL. CONVECTIVE MODE SHOULD REMAIN
PRIMARILY LINEAR...WITH MOVEMENT GENERALLY EWD AT 25-30 KT. WEAK
SURFACE WINDS...COUPLED WITH MARGINAL DEEP-LAYER SHEAR AND LINEAR
STORM STRUCTURES SUGGEST DAMAGING WINDS AND LARGE HAIL SHOULD
CONTINUE AS PRIMARY THREATS.

ACROSS SRN KY...OUTFLOW BOUNDARY HAS BECOME PARALLEL TO DEEP-LAYER
FLOW NEAR THE TN/KY BORDER...WHICH SHOULD ALLOW FOR A SWD
PROPAGATION OF STORMS INTO NRN TN DURING THE NEXT FEW HOURS.
POTENTIAL FOR LOCALLY HEAVY RAINFALL WILL EXIST NEAR THE TN/KY
BORDER GIVEN POTENTIAL FOR TRAINING STORMS ALONG OUTFLOW BOUNDARY
AND PW VALUES OF 1.75-1.85 IN.

..BANACOS.. 06/12/2004

...PLEASE SEE WWW.SPC.NOAA.GOV FOR GRAPHIC PRODUCT...

ATTN...WFO...RLX...MRX...JKL...ILN...LMK...

36688682 37348676 37638575 38668504 38548274 36538274

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